US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $3,471 riding on it.

The price of 53% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 53¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $3,471 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$259, +$6,452 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.