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lastminwin

TopPolymarket
0xb5d19b53c973be1097119c9ddc48fcb18fff6e35
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $1.3M
Quality score
0.548
Goodas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$40.5K
PnL 90d
+$40.5K
ROI 90d
+10%
on $411.6K deployed
Entry edge
57%
12 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$2.0M
10626 trades
Breadth 90d
89
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No244K79¢83¢$201,689+$7,839
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No138.4K87¢86¢$119,688-$915
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No113.2K96¢97¢$109,704+$1,055
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No118.8K78¢92¢$108,725+$16.1K
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes76.9K13¢99¢$76,024+$66.4K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No80.9K90¢92¢$74,310+$1,538
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No88.4K86¢83¢$73,093-$2,885
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes141K43¢45¢$63,824+$3,543
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No80K63¢69¢$55,400+$4,910
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No62K87¢89¢$55,089+$1,154
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No55.9K93¢95¢$53,067+$1,167
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No55K88¢88¢$48,427+$73
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No50K85¢84¢$41,975-$425
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No40K94¢94¢$37,540-$100
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No40K72¢76¢$30,500+$1,700
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes26.9K72¢99¢$26,526+$7,016
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No29K85¢90¢$26,050+$1,532
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes77.7K17¢19¢$15,039+$1,606
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No20K84¢72¢$14,470-$2,410
Will Person N win the 2027 French presidential election?No10K96¢97¢$9,715+$105
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes130K12¢5.5¢$7,150-$9,048
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Yes44.1K21¢15¢$6,829-$2,563
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes50K2.5¢11¢$5,625+$4,378
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes93K5.0¢5.5¢$5,162+$487
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes189.2K2.6¢2.6¢$5,013+$83
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes56.1K17¢8.0¢$4,492-$5,146
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes103.4K1.4¢3.2¢$3,359+$1,873
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes200K0.2¢1.4¢$2,900+$2,500
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes76.4K3.0¢3.7¢$2,866+$574
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes63.4K5.4¢4.4¢$2,822-$594
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes149.6K1.4¢1.5¢$2,169+$38
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes85K2.6¢2.4¢$2,082-$146
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.1K8.4¢9.3¢$1,859+$161
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes158.9K1.0¢1.1¢$1,828+$179
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No1.8K96¢97¢$1,716+$15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes80K6.0¢1.8¢$1,480-$3,320
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes700K0.3¢0.1¢$1,050-$1,050
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes60K1.5¢1.5¢$930+$30
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes82.6K0.8¢1.0¢$868+$226
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes156K0.4¢0.5¢$858+$170
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes149.8K0.5¢0.5¢$824-$2
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No665.593¢96¢$642+$23
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes85K1.9¢0.7¢$637-$990
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes60.4K0.4¢0.6¢$392+$126
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20K0.8¢1.8¢$370+$210
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes55.4K0.3¢0.6¢$360+$194
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes47.2K0.9¢0.6¢$307-$131
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20K1.9¢1.3¢$270-$110
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4.5K2.5¢4.8¢$217+$105
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No260.770¢81¢$211+$29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes19.2K1.2¢1.0¢$192-$40
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes30K1.0¢0.4¢$135-$175
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes30K2.0¢0.4¢$135-$474
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes4.4K0.6¢2.0¢$90+$64
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes50K0.1¢0.1¢$75+$25
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes50K0.2¢0.1¢$75-$25
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes20.2K0.2¢0.3¢$71+$30
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes30025¢17¢$52-$22
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No53.994¢96¢$52+$1
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes50K0.1¢0.1¢$50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes3.5K20¢1.3¢$47-$653
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes51.51.6¢2.3¢$1+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes6018¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes90.6K85¢0.0¢$0-$76.6K
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes5K22¢0.0¢$0-$1,100
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes100K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$650
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes66.5K30¢0.0¢$0-$19.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes23.4K14¢0.0¢$0-$3,210
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No45K8.0¢0.0¢$0-$3,600
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes10K16¢0.0¢$0-$1,600
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes20K5.3¢0.0¢$0-$1,059
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$120