Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $23.3K·Volume $36.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$585 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,183
72h +$1,183
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 21:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$23.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $585 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $585 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,183, +$1,183 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $488 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $98 |
| 5h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1w ago | kaxel78Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $105 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $30 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $300 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $50 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $69 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $20 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $50 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $36 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $59 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $4 |