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Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $23.3K·Volume $36.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:19computed 3h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$585 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,183
72h +$1,183
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 21:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$23.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $585 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $585 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,183, +$1,183 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:19
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo98¢$488
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo98¢$488
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo98¢$98
5h agomrworldwideTopBuyNo98¢$98
1w agokaxel78MidBuyNo76¢$105
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$5
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$30
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$300
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$50
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$69
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$20
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$20
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$23
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$1
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$6
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$8
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$15
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$50
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$36
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$59
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$5
2w agolastminwinTopBuyYes20¢$4