TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05

MidPolymarket
0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $226.9K
Quality score
0.343
Fairas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$59.2K
PnL 90d
+$81.6K
ROI 90d
+4%
on $2.0M deployed
Entry edge
49%
163 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$7.0M
15049 trades
Breadth 90d
505
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 13:59
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes146.2K54¢98¢$143,893+$65.5K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes10.8K79¢98¢$10,612+$2,086
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes8.8K58¢88¢$7,715+$2,665
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No9.7K61¢69¢$6,736+$799
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?No6.7K96¢99¢$6,659+$200
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes5.5K97¢99¢$5,461+$109
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes32.1K11¢13¢$4,007+$328
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes20.8K19¢16¢$3,427-$483
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes3K84¢98¢$2,954+$432
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes2.9K95¢100¢$2,900+$139
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes24K9.2¢11¢$2,688+$475
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?No3K76¢78¢$2,355+$75
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No3K72¢78¢$2,318+$193
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No2.9K87¢79¢$2,276-$242
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes6.1K37¢35¢$2,154-$78
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes50K1.2¢3.5¢$1,775+$1,194
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No1.9K76¢89¢$1,637+$233
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes1.6K96¢97¢$1,534+$6
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes11.2K16¢13¢$1,515-$251
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes3.8K38¢39¢$1,501+$36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes14.6K12¢8.5¢$1,239-$525
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No4.1K34¢29¢$1,175-$219
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes14K10¢7.5¢$1,050-$384
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes3.4K28¢22¢$767-$172
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes14.5K3.4¢4.6¢$673+$181
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?Yes6.7K13¢9.5¢$636-$241
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes20.6K5.8¢2.8¢$578-$614
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes10K13¢5.5¢$550-$750
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes5.9K16¢8.0¢$471-$448
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Yes13K10¢3.4¢$447-$849
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?Yes487.492¢91¢$446-$1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes27.1K11¢1.5¢$420-$2,611
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026?No433.493¢96¢$417+$14
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes11.5K7.4¢3.2¢$373-$480
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20K2.7¢1.8¢$370-$170
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes7K5.4¢5.1¢$355-$21
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes25.3K3.2¢1.3¢$342-$475
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes1.2K35¢21¢$245-$162
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes1K31¢20¢$200-$110
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?Yes272.664¢71¢$192+$17
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?Yes151.886¢84¢$127-$2
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes4K33¢1.8¢$74-$1,247
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No4K33¢1.8¢$71-$1,256
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes2.9K16¢1.1¢$32-$427
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes11.5K0.6¢0.2¢$29-$44
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?No31.716¢81¢$26+$21
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes10K1.2¢0.2¢$25-$95
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?No33034¢4.8¢$16-$96
Will Anthropic IPO by November 24, 2026?Yes16.887¢92¢$16+$1
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?No6007.4¢2.5¢$15-$29
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes9.3K0.9¢0.1¢$14-$70
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes312.424¢4.0¢$13-$61
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes106.423¢7.5¢$8-$16
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes11.6K3.4¢0.0¢$6-$386
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes11.6K3.4¢0.0¢$6-$386
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes11.6K3.4¢0.0¢$6-$386
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes11.6K3.4¢0.0¢$6-$386
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes11.6K3.4¢0.0¢$6-$386
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes2.8K22¢0.2¢$6-$607
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.2¢$4-$49
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Yes1K0.1¢0.3¢$3+$2
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$2-$50
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.1¢$2-$16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 0%-10%?Yes4813¢3.1¢$1-$5
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$1-$51
Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$1-$51
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$1-$51
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$1-$51
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1.5K3.6¢0.1¢$1-$51
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Yes2.1K65¢0.0¢$1-$1,375
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No37.841¢2.6¢$1-$15
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes2K0.1¢0.1¢$1-$1
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1K1.8¢0.0¢$1-$17
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No0.685¢74¢$0-$0
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes4.9K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$104
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes2K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No9.8K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$251
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No8.4K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$564
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes3.8K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$187
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes10K3.3¢0.0¢$0-$327
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes8K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2K37¢0.0¢$0-$740
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?No5009.0¢0.0¢$0-$45
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes4K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$102
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes5K0.4¢0.0¢$0-$20
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?Yes204.614¢0.0¢$0-$29
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes999.712¢0.0¢$0-$120
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes784.445¢0.0¢$0-$349
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4K3.0¢0.0¢$0-$120
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes819.744¢0.0¢$0-$361
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No2.8K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$139
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No2.3K9.9¢0.0¢$0-$229
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes1K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$52
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?No1.7K19¢0.0¢$0-$320
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No1.2K28¢0.0¢$0-$332
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes3K20¢0.0¢$0-$594
Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?Yes395.23.0¢0.0¢$0-$12
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes3K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$210
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes3K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$210
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1.7K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes24.8K14¢0.0¢$0-$3,476
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes25.9K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes20K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$29
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes16K0.3¢0.0¢$0-$46
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes29.8K1.3¢0.0¢$0-$387
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes33.2K1.3¢0.0¢$0-$438
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will the Parents Circle – Families Forum win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Yad Vashem win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes37.2K1.3¢0.0¢$0-$468
Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes30.2K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$429
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes12.8K5.1¢0.0¢$0-$657
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes744.66.3¢0.0¢$0-$47
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes7.3K3.5¢0.0¢$0-$257
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes2.6K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$127
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes1K3.2¢0.0¢$0-$33
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes2.8K4.0¢0.0¢$0-$113
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes9.7K12¢0.0¢$0-$1,186
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes10K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No20K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$177
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes3.7K25¢0.0¢$0-$924
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No5K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$70
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?No4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes4K18¢0.0¢$0-$735
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes50.84.6¢0.0¢$0-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes8.3K1.6¢0.0¢$0-$133
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No2.7K59¢0.0¢$0-$1,609
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026?Yes1K5.1¢0.0¢$0-$51
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No6009.0¢0.0¢$0-$54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?No1K6.9¢0.0¢$0-$70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Yes559.28.7¢0.0¢$0-$49
Fed rate hike in 2026?No1546¢0.0¢$0-$7
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No10.2K6.2¢0.0¢$0-$629
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes1K54¢0.0¢$0-$554
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?Yes1K4.0¢0.0¢$0-$40
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3.1K5.9¢0.0¢$0-$187
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No1.7K15¢0.0¢$0-$260
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3.2K1.9¢0.0¢$0-$60
LAPTOP FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes73321¢0.0¢$0-$157
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?No5.2K1.7¢0.0¢$0-$90
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No6007.0¢0.0¢$0-$42
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Yes1.7K14¢0.0¢$0-$236
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?Yes1.3K14¢0.0¢$0-$185
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes7.530¢0.0¢$0-$2
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18?No3.4K1.3¢0.0¢$0-$45
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes1K21¢0.0¢$0-$210
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?Yes15K5.1¢0.0¢$0-$765
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes8.1K15¢0.0¢$0-$1,217
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes15.1K6.1¢0.0¢$0-$925
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes4.8K11¢0.0¢$0-$552
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes8.3K6.2¢0.0¢$0-$517
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No11.4K4.7¢0.0¢$0-$541
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?No9.2K12¢0.0¢$0-$1,106
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?No31.4K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$673
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No16.3K6.5¢0.0¢$0-$1,056
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?No12K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes10K0.3¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes2K24¢0.0¢$0-$490
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?No3.4K3.4¢0.0¢$0-$113
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTop Esports7K16¢0.0¢$0-$1,118
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes1K51¢0.0¢$0-$515
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes462.64.4¢0.0¢$0-$20
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance5K4.6¢0.0¢$0-$230
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under3K23¢0.0¢$0-$690
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No1K1.6¢0.0¢$0-$16
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No452.45.9¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No7605.1¢0.0¢$0-$38
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes8.2K25¢0.0¢$0-$2,021
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026?Yes8K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$48
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes5.1K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$60
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes18.4K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$368
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No76317¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes15K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$304
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No10028¢0.0¢$0-$28
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes13K5.6¢0.0¢$0-$723
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes8.6K1.6¢0.0¢$0-$135
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?Yes3K7.2¢0.0¢$0-$215
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?No2.6K4.7¢0.0¢$0-$122
Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1?No1005.3¢0.0¢$0-$5
Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?No2.2K3.8¢0.0¢$0-$83
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes2K11¢0.0¢$0-$220
LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No1.6K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$22
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Yes1.9K20¢0.0¢$0-$375
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes2.7K1.6¢0.0¢$0-$41
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Yes652.42.1¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?No3.5K28¢0.0¢$0-$990
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Lula7212¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?Yes1K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$60
Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?No1003.9¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Yes1K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?No2.9K54¢0.0¢$0-$1,566
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No1.1K4.7¢0.0¢$0-$51
Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 6, 10PM ET?Yes6.1K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?No2K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes67.1K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$168
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes2K4.7¢0.0¢$0-$95
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?No193.835¢0.0¢$0-$68
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes20.4K0.4¢0.0¢$0-$94
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes15K20¢0.0¢$0-$2,948
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?Yes109.513¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes5K7.8¢0.0¢$0-$390
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No1K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$70
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No1.6K4.2¢0.0¢$0-$68
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Yes5K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$145
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDignitas1K23¢0.0¢$0-$230
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes2K23¢0.0¢$0-$455
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No2K17¢0.0¢$0-$335
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No10K3.2¢0.0¢$0-$319
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?Yes6.4K3.6¢0.0¢$0-$235
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes40.9K6.9¢0.0¢$0-$2,801
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No3.4K32¢0.0¢$0-$1,076
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes109.2K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$1,605
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes15.2K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$915
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes1K17¢0.0¢$0-$170
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?No1.9K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$55
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No2.7K0.5¢0.0¢$0-$14
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No1K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes26.5K12¢0.0¢$0-$3,133
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5K5.4¢0.0¢$0-$270
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes2.8K18¢0.0¢$0-$509
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes11K8.6¢0.0¢$0-$945
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis1K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will Argentina win the World Cup?Yes1.7K20¢0.0¢$0-$344
Will France win the World Cup?Yes260.30.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?No45.7K7.8¢0.0¢$0-$3,560
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No1.6K19¢0.0¢$0-$309
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?Yes3.1K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$62
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?Yes3.4K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Yes18.5K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$111
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No5K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$5
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Yes1.7K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$113
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?No3K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes2K5.8¢0.0¢$0-$117
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT114K56¢0.0¢$0-$7,786
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?No2.9K38¢0.0¢$0-$1,099
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming3K5.8¢0.0¢$0-$175
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT15K39¢0.0¢$0-$1,948
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT13K10¢0.0¢$0-$310
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry4K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$80
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes31K16¢0.0¢$0-$5,078
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes3.5K8.1¢0.0¢$0-$286
Lions vs. BillsLions4.8K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$290
Giants vs. RamsGiants3K5.9¢0.0¢$0-$177
Buccaneers vs. CowboysCowboys2K24¢0.0¢$0-$474
Ravens vs. FalconsFalcons3K18¢0.0¢$0-$540
Steelers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers1K46¢0.0¢$0-$460
Chargers vs. ChiefsChargers3K23¢0.0¢$0-$690
Cowboys vs. PackersCowboys1K51¢0.0¢$0-$510
Commanders vs. 49ersCommanders7K9.5¢0.0¢$0-$667
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports12K29¢0.0¢$0-$3,480
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS1K13¢0.0¢$0-$130
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid4K73¢0.0¢$0-$2,925
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports4K29¢0.0¢$0-$1,175
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports4K54¢0.0¢$0-$2,169
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No12.9K11¢0.0¢$0-$1,367
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA4K54¢0.0¢$0-$2,152
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT14K70¢0.0¢$0-$2,800
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming10.2K28¢0.0¢$0-$2,820
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Yes2K10¢0.0¢$0-$212
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes3K7.4¢0.0¢$0-$224
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes23.3K4.6¢0.0¢$0-$1,063
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes7K12¢0.0¢$0-$838
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes5K10¢0.0¢$0-$500
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes4K5.6¢0.0¢$0-$224
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes4.3K1.7¢0.0¢$0-$72
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Yes10K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$120
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Yes7.3K1.7¢0.0¢$0-$125
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes2.5K3.4¢0.0¢$0-$88
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes521.216¢0.0¢$0-$83
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes18K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$125
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes13.8K3.6¢0.0¢$0-$498
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes6.7K9.6¢0.0¢$0-$644
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?Yes4K3.3¢0.0¢$0-$133
Vikings vs. SaintsSaints3K13¢0.0¢$0-$390
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes15.9K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$315
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes20K0.5¢0.0¢$0-$100
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes14.3K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$859
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes41.9K11¢0.0¢$0-$4,595
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLOS6K18¢0.0¢$0-$1,103
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales1.5K64¢0.0¢$0-$960
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)Invictus Gaming1K64¢0.0¢$0-$642
LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageLOS6.6K69¢0.0¢$0-$4,510
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Yes1K7.9¢0.0¢$0-$79
Browns vs. JetsBrowns2K13¢0.0¢$0-$260
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$247
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes14.3K19¢0.0¢$0-$2,714
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds PlayoffsLYON5K9.0¢0.0¢$0-$450
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing1K7.8¢0.0¢$0-$78
Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes4.8K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$341
Will Benin win on 2026-10-06?Yes4K2.2¢0.0¢$0-$89
LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 WinnerFURIA Esports10K51¢0.0¢$0-$5,053
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Secret Whales4K37¢0.0¢$0-$1,480
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTeam Secret Whales4K38¢0.0¢$0-$1,510
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageT13K56¢0.0¢$0-$1,678
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G50049¢0.0¢$0-$244
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageKarmine Corp6K15¢0.0¢$0-$925
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster53.7K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$1,090
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes30K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$1,570
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes526¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes13K30¢0.0¢$0-$3,902
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes11.8K11¢0.0¢$0-$1,241
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes4.2K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$119
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Missy Hughes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Brett Hulsey win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Zachary Roper win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Chris Larson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Tom Nelson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes936.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$32
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes5K14¢0.0¢$0-$718
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes6.5K1.8¢0.0¢$0-$117
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes3.6K6.1¢0.0¢$0-$221
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes348.317¢0.0¢$0-$59
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes3.1K15¢0.0¢$0-$471
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes4.5K38¢0.0¢$0-$1,707
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes4.4K39¢0.0¢$0-$1,717
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No1.6K12¢0.0¢$0-$201
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes3K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$156
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes70.620¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes1K17¢0.0¢$0-$167