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Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman by November 30?

ActiveLiquidity $6,238·Volume $2,323·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes86%No14%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:00computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
86% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
86%price86%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$370 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$785
Smart money entered81¢86¢at 07:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$6,238
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $370 riding on it.

The price of 86% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 86¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $370 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$785 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:00
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoCarMidSellYes85¢$85
1d agoCarMidSellYes85¢$85
1d agoCarMidBuyYes83¢$139
1d agoCarMidBuyYes83¢$139
1d agoCarMidBuyYes80¢$311
1d agoCarMidBuyYes80¢$311