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Parz1vaI

ProbationPolymarket
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $288.0K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$61.9K
PnL 90d
+$92.1K
ROI 90d
+6%
on $1.5M deployed
Entry edge
49%
144 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$4.9M
10046 trades
Breadth 90d
462
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:10
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?No53.3K84¢86¢$46,119+$1,264
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No36.7K58¢61¢$22,400+$1,196
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No20.9K77¢98¢$20,501+$4,364
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?No14.9K85¢89¢$13,285+$577
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No13.9K66¢79¢$11,016+$1,814
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?No12.1K90¢89¢$10,752-$97
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No11.7K87¢91¢$10,733+$528
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No11.1K81¢96¢$10,689+$1,696
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No26.9K40¢37¢$10,017-$635
AI bubble burst in 2026?No9.7K91¢93¢$9,043+$191
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes8.8K98¢98¢$8,680+$3
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?No8.3K74¢89¢$7,332+$1,223
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No8.8K68¢81¢$7,181+$1,209
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?No6.6K98¢100¢$6,630+$152
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes7.4K64¢81¢$5,992+$1,274
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 13?Yes5.7K77¢97¢$5,469+$1,079
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes6.7K74¢81¢$5,393+$435
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Yes5.6K67¢87¢$4,805+$1,083
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?No4.5K91¢99¢$4,416+$368
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes4.5K87¢93¢$4,148+$284
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No4.8K84¢85¢$4,099+$60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes10.5K44¢39¢$4,041-$561
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes4K73¢97¢$3,847+$933
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes6.2K54¢50¢$3,085-$286
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?No4.6K61¢66¢$3,016+$218
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?No10.9K37¢27¢$2,987-$1,003
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No3.3K84¢90¢$2,932+$199
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?Yes3.4K70¢85¢$2,890+$494
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?Yes2K83¢96¢$1,950+$262
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?No2K82¢94¢$1,926+$243
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?No1.8K91¢97¢$1,741+$102
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?No1.8K94¢99¢$1,734+$88
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?No2.4K67¢67¢$1,650+$16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?No2.1K31¢74¢$1,564+$900
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No6.4K22¢23¢$1,509+$89
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?No1.8K78¢83¢$1,460+$71
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?No1.6K80¢86¢$1,343+$92
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes8K23¢17¢$1,321-$523
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes1.9K71¢68¢$1,268-$39
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1.3K87¢94¢$1,210+$95
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?No3.8K34¢30¢$1,136-$178
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?No1.2K88¢98¢$1,130+$114
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?Yes1.3K84¢90¢$1,129+$78
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes20.7K12¢4.8¢$1,005-$1,476
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes25.9K6.4¢3.7¢$970-$696
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes970.393¢99¢$957+$55
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?No1.1K85¢87¢$954+$26
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No1.2K70¢78¢$931+$96
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No82684¢93¢$768+$76
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?No770.694¢96¢$739+$14
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No2.3K60¢31¢$702-$673
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No728.695¢96¢$702+$13
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No1.2K62¢51¢$606-$125
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?No740.375¢82¢$603+$51
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?No520.879¢96¢$501+$88
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?Yes4.4K24¢11¢$480-$553
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?Yes558.656¢57¢$321+$7
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?No625.365¢49¢$306-$101
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No309.171¢94¢$289+$70
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No293.482¢81¢$238-$1
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?No29775¢77¢$230+$8
Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?No28075¢79¢$221+$11
Iran leadership change by December 31?No200.389¢92¢$184+$6
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?No1.2K28¢15¢$173-$150
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?No202.672¢82¢$165+$20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?No323.846¢48¢$154+$5
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes74122¢19¢$144-$19
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?No167.471¢86¢$144+$25
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by November 30?No14294¢97¢$137+$4
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?No136.296¢95¢$129-$2
Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?No16185¢80¢$128-$9
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No284.453¢42¢$119-$32
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1.8K9.8¢6.0¢$105-$67
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?No105.396¢98¢$104+$2
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary?No99.690¢99¢$98+$9
Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?No83.878¢98¢$82+$17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?No14457¢56¢$81-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?Yes10377¢79¢$81+$2
Nawrocki out by December 31?Yes2K6.9¢2.8¢$57-$83
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?No294.683¢19¢$56-$188
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes5868¢95¢$55+$16
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No163.551¢34¢$55-$29
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Yes1.4K21¢3.4¢$48-$249
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No4086¢94¢$37+$3
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No32.187¢97¢$31+$3
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes10023¢24¢$24+$1
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?No45.452¢43¢$19-$4
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No19.990¢95¢$19+$1
Will Sepp Müller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes806.42.1¢2.2¢$18+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No1789¢88¢$15-$0
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?No1086¢98¢$10+$1
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No10.179¢94¢$10+$2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No596¢99¢$5+$0
Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes1.2K0.3¢0.3¢$4+$0
Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes1200.6¢2.6¢$3+$2
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes702.927¢0.1¢$1-$187
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Yes7K4.2¢0.0¢$0-$295
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?No6.7K57¢0.0¢$0-$3,813
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: FC Schalke 04 O/U 0.5Under16.1K35¢0.0¢$0-$5,611