Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $30.0K·Volume $90.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes77%No24%
Smart money leans
No
24% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
71%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
24%price24%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,643 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered26¢24¢at 02:28(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$30.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $2,643 riding on it.
The price of 24% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 24¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,643 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 23¢ | $115 |
| 5d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $120 |
| 5d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $22 |
| 5d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $23 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $41 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $48 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 25¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $123 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $26 |
| 2w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $836 |
| 3w ago | dsoperativeTop | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $373 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $130 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $92 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $8 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $26 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $18 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $35 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $7 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $49 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $0 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $511 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $104 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 26¢ | $182 |