| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 66.4K | 80¢ | 94¢ | $62,061 | +$8,982 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 43.2K | 67¢ | 97¢ | $41,754 | +$13.0K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 40.2K | 80¢ | 97¢ | $39,060 | +$7,090 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 31.2K | 79¢ | 88¢ | $27,261 | +$2,588 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.2K | 88¢ | 98¢ | $25,768 | +$2,767 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 26K | 92¢ | 97¢ | $25,116 | +$1,104 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 26K | 76¢ | 92¢ | $23,790 | +$3,930 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 28K | 50¢ | 83¢ | $23,142 | +$9,142 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 19.6K | 78¢ | 96¢ | $18,762 | +$3,388 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 20K | 93¢ | 89¢ | $17,900 | -$708 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | No | 17.6K | 86¢ | 97¢ | $17,026 | +$1,864 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 19.3K | 58¢ | 83¢ | $16,085 | +$4,940 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 19.3K | 38¢ | 71¢ | $13,825 | +$6,529 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.7K | 87¢ | 99¢ | $10,588 | +$1,241 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 13.9K | 49¢ | 68¢ | $9,514 | +$2,696 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7.3K | 77¢ | 98¢ | $7,160 | +$1,585 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 28K | 50¢ | 17¢ | $4,858 | -$9,142 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5.7K | 61¢ | 82¢ | $4,643 | +$1,193 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 19.9K | 43¢ | 23¢ | $4,570 | -$4,028 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.3K | 93¢ | 97¢ | $4,104 | +$163 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | 80¢ | 85¢ | $2,531 | +$176 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.5K | 51¢ | 92¢ | $2,300 | +$1,032 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.4K | 86¢ | 93¢ | $2,238 | +$161 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 9.4K | 40¢ | 21¢ | $2,014 | -$1,701 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 3.8K | 45¢ | 52¢ | $1,994 | +$277 |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1.9K | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1,866 | +$193 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 2.3K | 51¢ | 78¢ | $1,777 | +$625 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 2K | 79¢ | 87¢ | $1,750 | +$170 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | No | 2K | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1,610 | +$170 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 2.8K | 83¢ | 57¢ | $1,601 | -$740 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | 96¢ | 98¢ | $1,472 | +$34 |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1.5K | 88¢ | 99¢ | $1,446 | +$163 |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.4K | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1,401 | +$148 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 1.4K | 77¢ | 83¢ | $1,203 | +$94 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 3.5K | 37¢ | 33¢ | $1,162 | -$135 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 1K | 85¢ | 98¢ | $976 | +$126 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | Yes | 7.1K | 39¢ | 12¢ | $891 | -$1,861 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 3.2K | 43¢ | 25¢ | $804 | -$565 |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 562 | 91¢ | 97¢ | $543 | +$31 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? | Yes | 500 | 92¢ | 95¢ | $475 | +$16 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 516.5 | 80¢ | 80¢ | $416 | +$3 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 1.6K | 46¢ | 25¢ | $416 | -$337 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 2K | 77¢ | 13¢ | $250 | -$1,290 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 237.5 | 86¢ | 96¢ | $228 | +$25 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 2.6K | 27¢ | 8.0¢ | $204 | -$489 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 2.1K | 29¢ | 8.5¢ | $179 | -$430 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 214.7 | 53¢ | 78¢ | $166 | +$53 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | No | 589.2 | 43¢ | 13¢ | $77 | -$176 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | Yes | 1.2K | 43¢ | 5.0¢ | $59 | -$453 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.9K | 1.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $16 | -$15 |
| Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028? | Yes | 7.7 | 85¢ | 95¢ | $7 | +$1 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5 | 82¢ | 98¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | Yes | 1K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$452 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? | Yes | 572.8 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 410 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$152 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | No | 960 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$406 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 3.7K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$880 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 9.5K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,749 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 2.6K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,430 |