Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $9,548·Volume $3,825·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,283 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢98¢at 06:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$9,548
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,283 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,283 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.