Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $13.2K·Volume $4,878·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,673 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢96¢at 02:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$13.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,673 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,673 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $1,673 |