Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $68.7K·Volume $47.9K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes12%No88%
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$921 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢88¢at 18:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$68.7K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $921 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $921 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.