Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,462 riding on it.

The price of 9% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 11¢; the price was 9.0¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,462 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,924, +$2,924 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.