Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $7,417·Volume $115.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes74%No27%
Smart money leans
No
27% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
27%price27%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$533 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$43
72h +$43
Smart money entered48¢27¢at 11:47(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$7,417
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $533 riding on it.
The price of 27% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 27¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $533 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$43, +$43 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 24¢ | $12 |
| 9h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 24¢ | $12 |
| 10h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 24¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 24¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $167 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $323 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $20 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $49 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $26 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $114 |
| 4w ago | eCashTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $4 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $123 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $3 |
| 12w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $73 |