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flawfence

TopPolymarket
0x23d81ba9371e576015c1e562db09c689f56b0288
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $663.0K
Quality score
0.485
Goodas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$557.4K
PnL 90d
+$395.6K
ROI 90d
+21%
on $1.8M deployed
Entry edge
50%
67 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$6.1M
10615 trades
Breadth 90d
301
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:02
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No376.7K64¢76¢$287,247+$47.7K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes172K26¢98¢$169,240+$124.5K
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No51.9K86¢88¢$45,739+$873
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes42.6K36¢92¢$39,006+$23.7K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No30.1K82¢92¢$27,826+$3,093
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes33.5K84¢50¢$16,726-$11.5K
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No13.3K34¢88¢$11,746+$7,184
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No21.3K54¢50¢$10,525-$884
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.8K24¢45¢$9,414+$4,404
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes7.1K75¢99¢$6,970+$1,696
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No5.9K83¢99¢$5,802+$920
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes149.9K2.6¢3.2¢$4,796+$833
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?No9.3K57¢52¢$4,772-$479
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No4.6K83¢94¢$4,296+$482
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No3.2K91¢98¢$3,147+$221
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes24.3K14¢8.5¢$2,065-$1,246
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes58.9K16¢2.6¢$1,561-$8,052
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes67.6K30¢2.0¢$1,386-$18.7K
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢4.8¢$1,379+$364
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?No3.5K53¢34¢$1,164-$685
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢3.2¢$924-$91
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?Yes2K45¢37¢$746-$159
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes2K31¢32¢$639+$20
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No6.7K59¢9.5¢$634-$3,303
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No5K16¢12¢$575-$225
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢5.8¢$471+$408
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?No1.4K32¢31¢$442-$10
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes5K17¢8.5¢$425-$425
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes25K17¢1.6¢$388-$3,863
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No943.472¢30¢$283-$396
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes12.5K15¢1.8¢$232-$1,656
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?No258.989¢89¢$230-$1
Will Person N win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢2.8¢$230+$167
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes2.6K32¢8.0¢$210-$633
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢2.4¢$197+$134
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?Yes53940¢36¢$197-$19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢2.0¢$165+$102
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢1.8¢$149+$86
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢1.8¢$149+$86
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes73.8K0.7¢0.1¢$111-$374
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢1.2¢$101+$38
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No50014¢16¢$79+$9
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.2¢$71-$945
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.2¢$71-$945
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No10477¢63¢$66-$15
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No3K14¢1.7¢$52-$364
Plague pandemic in 2026?No49.995¢99¢$49+$2
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Aviv Kohavi be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Eli Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$43-$973
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.4¢$36-$27
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.4¢$36-$27
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$28-$987
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$28-$987
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$28-$987
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.1¢$28-$987
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.2¢$20-$43
Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes28.4K3.6¢0.0¢$14-$1,001
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes2.2K3.1¢0.6¢$12-$56
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.1¢$12-$51
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.1¢$12-$51
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes257.71.8¢4.6¢$12+$7
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No11.872¢92¢$11+$2
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.1¢$8-$55
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes8.1K0.8¢0.0¢$4-$59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes7.517¢37¢$3+$1
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Yes166.8¢7.8¢$1+$0
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Over0.970¢100¢$1+$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No5.332¢8.5¢$0-$1
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No0.298¢100¢$0+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes20K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$120
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes6.9K64¢0.0¢$0-$4,428
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?No20K64¢0.0¢$0-$12.8K
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?Yes53K35¢0.0¢$0-$18.5K
Spread: France (-1.5)Norway76K64¢0.0¢$0-$48.6K
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5Under62.9K34¢0.0¢$0-$21.4K
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo77K37¢0.0¢$0-$28.5K
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5Over50K44¢0.0¢$0-$22.0K
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under100K45¢0.0¢$0-$44.7K
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?No50K37¢0.0¢$0-$18.5K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50K22¢0.0¢$0-$11.0K
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50K17¢0.0¢$0-$8,500
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil1.1K31¢0.0¢$0-$346
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Over80K51¢0.0¢$0-$40.8K
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Haiti42.1K36¢0.0¢$0-$15.2K
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Over75K45¢0.0¢$0-$33.7K
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes20K37¢0.0¢$0-$7,400
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico100K48¢0.0¢$0-$48.0K
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes80K51¢0.0¢$0-$41.0K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Uzbekistan63K31¢0.0¢$0-$19.5K
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5Under63K34¢0.0¢$0-$21.4K
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Under63K57¢0.0¢$0-$35.9K
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina33K19¢0.0¢$0-$6,270
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over56K49¢0.0¢$0-$27.4K
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes75K48¢0.0¢$0-$36.0K
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes76K24¢0.0¢$0-$18.2K
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Iraq76K40¢0.0¢$0-$30.4K
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Iraq76K64¢0.0¢$0-$48.6K
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Under76K35¢0.0¢$0-$26.6K
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under84458¢0.0¢$0-$490
Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under13.5K56¢0.0¢$0-$7,556
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)ŠK Slovan Bratislava7.1K48¢0.0¢$0-$3,423
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?No45K45¢0.0¢$0-$20.2K
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Under30K28¢0.0¢$0-$8,400
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Under56.1K53¢0.0¢$0-$29.9K
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Under20K75¢0.0¢$0-$15.0K
Spread: England (-2.5)England55K39¢0.0¢$0-$21.5K
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Over55K41¢0.0¢$0-$22.5K
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over57K54¢0.0¢$0-$30.8K
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over56K35¢0.0¢$0-$19.6K
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway3.1K34¢0.0¢$0-$1,058
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Opp.4.1K47¢0.0¢$0-$1,912
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?Yes1.9K8.3¢0.0¢$0-$158
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?Yes2.6K10¢0.0¢$0-$272
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes3.3K12¢0.0¢$0-$376
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Yes328.49.1¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes1.7K9.1¢0.0¢$0-$156
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes1.7K9.1¢0.0¢$0-$156
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 15%?Yes1.7K9.1¢0.0¢$0-$156
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Under6.4K46¢0.0¢$0-$2,987
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?Over3.5K44¢0.0¢$0-$1,519
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?No100K29¢0.0¢$0-$29.0K
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Under53K46¢0.0¢$0-$24.4K
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic100K18¢0.0¢$0-$18.0K
France vs. England: O/U 2.5Under100K32¢0.0¢$0-$32.0K
France vs. England: O/U 3.5Under100K56¢0.0¢$0-$56.0K
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance60K47¢0.0¢$0-$28.0K
Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes81.9K36¢0.0¢$0-$29.4K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?No100K69¢0.0¢$0-$69.0K
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Saudi Arabia70K46¢0.0¢$0-$32.2K
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Under6.8K27¢0.0¢$0-$1,831
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes12.2K36¢0.0¢$0-$4,413
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%?Yes202.31.7¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 12–16%?Yes205.21.9¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Yes3.7K29¢0.0¢$0-$1,084
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No1.9K21¢0.0¢$0-$399
Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes317.15.2¢0.0¢$0-$16
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?Yes459.233¢0.0¢$0-$153
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?Lula6.5K15¢0.0¢$0-$972
Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?No4.2K9.0¢0.0¢$0-$376
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes6.4K26¢0.0¢$0-$1,692
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No1.9K11¢0.0¢$0-$209
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes17.8K24¢0.0¢$0-$4,249
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No12.8K16¢0.0¢$0-$2,038
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?No24465¢0.0¢$0-$160
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?No704.693¢0.0¢$0-$652
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?Yes2K20¢0.0¢$0-$400
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance402.5K59¢0.0¢$0-$236.8K
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5Under75K31¢0.0¢$0-$23.2K
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5Under26.3K51¢0.0¢$0-$13.4K
Spread: England (-2.5)England45K46¢0.0¢$0-$20.7K
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalMOUZ20K26¢0.0¢$0-$5,212
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal31.8K53¢0.0¢$0-$16.8K
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Under53K43¢0.0¢$0-$22.8K
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes11K2.0¢0.0¢$0-$221
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik50K33¢0.0¢$0-$16.5K
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda NoskovaKarolina Muchova39K58¢0.0¢$0-$22.6K
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)New Zealand51K54¢0.0¢$0-$27.5K
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under51K42¢0.0¢$0-$21.4K
Will France win on 2026-06-16?No30K33¢0.0¢$0-$9,900
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes30K12¢0.0¢$0-$3,600
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?No40K30¢0.0¢$0-$12.0K
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes76K20¢0.0¢$0-$15.2K
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany2.4K40¢0.0¢$0-$961
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico75K23¢0.0¢$0-$17.2K
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under30K49¢0.0¢$0-$14.7K
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Curaçao40K50¢0.0¢$0-$20.0K
England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder750.747¢0.0¢$0-$353
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes1.9K60¢0.0¢$0-$1,124
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes3K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$93
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes3K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$93
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo12K63¢0.0¢$0-$7,522
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes5.1K55¢0.0¢$0-$2,812
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes57.6K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$127
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?No12K8.6¢0.0¢$0-$1,033
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Yes5.9K8.1¢0.0¢$0-$472
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?No9.6K19¢0.0¢$0-$1,876
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Yes1.7K8.7¢0.0¢$0-$150
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes673.962¢0.0¢$0-$418
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No80K41¢0.0¢$0-$32.8K
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?No100K40¢0.0¢$0-$40.0K
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?Yes53K15¢0.0¢$0-$7,950
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?No53K42¢0.0¢$0-$22.3K
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8K92¢0.0¢$0-$7,330
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes16.4K28¢0.0¢$0-$4,513
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Yes550.22.4¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?Yes4.7K16¢0.0¢$0-$770
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder15K47¢0.0¢$0-$7,040
Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?Yes6.1K7.2¢0.0¢$0-$438
Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?No7.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$477
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No3.8K20¢0.0¢$0-$747
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Yes2.4K17¢0.0¢$0-$417
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No633.381¢0.0¢$0-$513
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?No47K32¢0.0¢$0-$15.0K
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Yes7.8K12¢0.0¢$0-$972
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No100K39¢0.0¢$0-$39.2K
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?Yes26.6K38¢0.0¢$0-$10.0K
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?Yes1.8K9.4¢0.0¢$0-$168
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes20K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$592
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes20K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$592
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes20K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$592
Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes20K2.9¢0.0¢$0-$592
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo53K46¢0.0¢$0-$24.4K
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Under51.5K29¢0.0¢$0-$14.9K
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under63K54¢0.0¢$0-$34.0K
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over70K53¢0.0¢$0-$37.1K
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Ghana50K19¢0.0¢$0-$9,500
Will Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 40–50%?Yes707.513¢0.0¢$0-$94
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?Yes4.2K8.3¢0.0¢$0-$354
Will Rodney Glassman be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?Yes4.7K9.5¢0.0¢$0-$448
Will Warren Petersen be the Arizona Attorney General Republican nominee?No6K9.3¢0.0¢$0-$560
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes5.9K16¢0.0¢$0-$963
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?No5.6K5.2¢0.0¢$0-$292
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes25K1.4¢0.0¢$0-$349
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No21.3K4.6¢0.0¢$0-$983
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes25.5K51¢0.0¢$0-$13.0K
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No40.2K50¢0.0¢$0-$19.9K
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes5.3K6.8¢0.0¢$0-$358
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes1.4K1.5¢0.0¢$0-$21
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes40K64¢0.0¢$0-$25.6K
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes156.615¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes3.6K60¢0.0¢$0-$2,188
Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?Yes3K7.0¢0.0¢$0-$210
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 6% and 9%?Yes8.415¢0.0¢$0-$1
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador40K15¢0.0¢$0-$6,000
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BetBoom Team40K38¢0.0¢$0-$15.2K
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsUNO MILLE8.4K50¢0.0¢$0-$4,216
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?No6K57¢0.0¢$0-$3,436
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes2.6K59¢0.0¢$0-$1,561
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No34341¢0.0¢$0-$142
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes56.4K23¢0.0¢$0-$13.0K
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Under45K61¢0.0¢$0-$27.4K
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over51K31¢0.0¢$0-$15.8K
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5Over76K51¢0.0¢$0-$38.8K
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes836.189¢0.0¢$0-$744
Will England win the World Cup?Yes1.4K22¢0.0¢$0-$302
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No5K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$40
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14?Yes2.1K64¢0.0¢$0-$1,334
Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-16?Yes2.4K62¢0.0¢$0-$1,510
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes33.6K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$238
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes10K3.2¢0.0¢$0-$320
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?No100K41¢0.0¢$0-$41.0K
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysAlexander Bublik50K67¢0.0¢$0-$33.6K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes750K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$6,743
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes1.4K14¢0.0¢$0-$201
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Over100K49¢0.0¢$0-$49.0K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No304.234¢0.0¢$0-$103
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No11K41¢0.0¢$0-$4,520
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2.7K41¢0.0¢$0-$1,100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Coventry City FC50K40¢0.0¢$0-$20.0K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?Yes100K67¢0.0¢$0-$67.0K
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under3.8K59¢0.0¢$0-$2,228
US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos AlcarazYibing Wu60K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$3,600
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF2.5K37¢0.0¢$0-$912
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under59.6K48¢0.0¢$0-$28.6K
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben SheltonFrances Tiafoe55.8K27¢0.0¢$0-$15.1K
Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?No78.5K44¢0.0¢$0-$34.5K
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-08?Yes32.3K21¢0.0¢$0-$6,787
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?No200K20¢0.0¢$0-$41.0K
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?No100K39¢0.0¢$0-$39.0K
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes30K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$358
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes50K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$1,195
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes51.1K3.1¢0.0¢$0-$1,582
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes10K57¢0.0¢$0-$5,697
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No51.1K50¢0.0¢$0-$25.7K
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes7K48¢0.0¢$0-$3,370
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?No50K53¢0.0¢$0-$26.5K
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon NakashimaTaylor Fritz50.4K70¢0.0¢$0-$35.3K
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid103K38¢0.0¢$0-$39.1K
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves39330¢0.0¢$0-$118
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons865.534¢0.0¢$0-$294
49ers vs. RaidersRaiders191.858¢0.0¢$0-$111
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?No100K57¢0.0¢$0-$57.0K
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy PaulAlexander Bublik200K22¢0.0¢$0-$44.0K
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?No11.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes35.41.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes6.3K30¢0.0¢$0-$1,889
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes125.9K4.6¢0.0¢$0-$5,777
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?Yes1.5K13¢0.0¢$0-$189
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No57.9K28¢0.0¢$0-$16.3K
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes176.7K49¢0.0¢$0-$86.1K
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes1.8K15¢0.0¢$0-$271
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes3K22¢0.0¢$0-$662
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No4.3K72¢0.0¢$0-$3,107
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No4.6K36¢0.0¢$0-$1,663
Will Ralph Norman win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes531.220¢0.0¢$0-$104
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes74.3K10¢0.0¢$0-$7,759
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes3.5K2.6¢0.0¢$0-$90
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes9.9K23¢0.0¢$0-$2,239
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?No3K16¢0.0¢$0-$465
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No14K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$700
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No7.6K27¢0.0¢$0-$2,045
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes3.3K27¢0.0¢$0-$882
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes1.9K21¢0.0¢$0-$386
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No6.1K9.4¢0.0¢$0-$575
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes13.8K5.1¢0.0¢$0-$704
Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes3.5K11¢0.0¢$0-$379
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes2.7K51¢0.0¢$0-$1,381
Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No1.2K68¢0.0¢$0-$826
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes13.1K38¢0.0¢$0-$4,912
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?Yes1.5K35¢0.0¢$0-$516
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes8K50¢0.0¢$0-$4,000
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Yes3K3.0¢0.0¢$0-$91
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2.8K0.9¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes2.6K42¢0.0¢$0-$1,117
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No693.121¢0.0¢$0-$144
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes28.7K23¢0.0¢$0-$6,633
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes12.8K25¢0.0¢$0-$3,245
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No31.5K82¢0.0¢$0-$25.9K
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Yes3.2K59¢0.0¢$0-$1,897
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?No7K68¢0.0¢$0-$4,760
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Yes5.3K45¢0.0¢$0-$2,356
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No4K42¢0.0¢$0-$1,716
Will Tony Brown win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes1.7K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$81
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes1.7K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$81
Will Caesar Gonzales win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes1.7K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$81
Will Fayth Park win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Yes1.7K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$81
Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?Yes3K23¢0.0¢$0-$678
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes9.8K25¢0.0¢$0-$2,429
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Yes39.7K14¢0.0¢$0-$5,644
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?No6.7K58¢0.0¢$0-$3,905
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Yes6.2K14¢0.0¢$0-$863
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No1.2K11¢0.0¢$0-$129
Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes384.310.0¢0.0¢$0-$38
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.9K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$61
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes76.7K17¢0.0¢$0-$12.9K
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2.9K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$61
Will Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes2.1K21¢0.0¢$0-$443
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No48.9K33¢0.0¢$0-$16.2K
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes44.9K19¢0.0¢$0-$8,322
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No6.1K5.8¢0.0¢$0-$354
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes2.913¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?No846.213¢0.0¢$0-$110
Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?Yes2K60¢0.0¢$0-$1,200
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes3.4K60¢0.0¢$0-$2,042
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No456.18.9¢0.0¢$0-$41
Will New People (NL) win between 35 and 44 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes1.4K10¢0.0¢$0-$140
Will Xaykham Khamsyvoravong be the Rhode Island Lieutenant Governor Democratic nominee?Yes214.441¢0.0¢$0-$88
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No11.8K63¢0.0¢$0-$7,392
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1010¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes1.8K31¢0.0¢$0-$551