Plague pandemic in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $68.0K·Volume $521.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 14:00Smart money exiting · $26.2K sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$26.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$26.2K
72h -$26.2K
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 14:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$68.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $26.5K riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $26.5K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$26.2K, -$26.2K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $13,165 |
| 6h ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $13,165 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $1,401 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $848 |
| 6d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $435 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $564 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $228 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $229 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5,820 |
| 2w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,133 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $16,908 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 100¢ | $998 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $877 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,080 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $36 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $168 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1,082 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $394 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $152 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $196 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $196 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $38 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $243 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $199 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $199 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $538 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $542 |
| 3w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,084 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,087 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $1,085 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $32 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $84 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $16 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $489 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $13 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $254 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 98¢ | $189 |
| 4w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |