Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $39.3K·Volume $87.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes93%No7%
Smart money leans
Yes
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$16.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,370
72h +$17.1K
Smart money entered89¢92¢at 03:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$39.3K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $16.4K riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,370, +$17.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $85 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $113 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $78 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $46 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $85 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $113 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $46 |
| 15h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $78 |
| 21h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $57 |
| 21h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $198 |
| 21h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $57 |
| 21h ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $189 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $148 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $252 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $110 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $148 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $252 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $110 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $392 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $390 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $1,153 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $54 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $54 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $2,272 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $2,272 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $1,072 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $1,072 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $533 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $530 |
| 1d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $545 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $545 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $80 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $80 |
| 2d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $79 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $23 |