| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 46.1K | 71¢ | 77¢ | $35,275 | +$2,355 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 14.8K | 78¢ | 94¢ | $13,859 | +$2,259 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 9.7K | 89¢ | 50¢ | $4,871 | -$3,844 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4.4K | 85¢ | 88¢ | $3,913 | +$131 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.9K | 69¢ | 97¢ | $3,785 | +$1,101 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 5.2K | 62¢ | 67¢ | $3,500 | +$307 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 3.2K | 59¢ | 97¢ | $3,101 | +$1,221 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 5.2K | 90¢ | 52¢ | $2,717 | -$1,965 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.7K | 83¢ | 99¢ | $2,649 | +$426 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.8K | 81¢ | 94¢ | $2,598 | +$339 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.4K | 52¢ | 92¢ | $2,248 | +$982 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2.3K | 84¢ | 98¢ | $2,220 | +$316 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.2K | 95¢ | 98¢ | $2,183 | +$66 |
| Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 1.7K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1,651 | +$129 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1.7K | 43¢ | 93¢ | $1,606 | +$862 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 48¢ | 50¢ | $1,122 | +$56 |
| Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026? | No | 855.7 | 79¢ | 96¢ | $823 | +$144 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 781.8 | 73¢ | 99¢ | $774 | +$204 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 736.1 | 64¢ | 90¢ | $659 | +$191 |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026? | No | 652.2 | 78¢ | 88¢ | $575 | +$65 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.2K | 26¢ | 45¢ | $522 | +$227 |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | No | 506 | 60¢ | 90¢ | $455 | +$150 |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? | No | 470.9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $440 | +$13 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.2K | 36¢ | 20¢ | $433 | -$367 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 436.5 | 72¢ | 98¢ | $430 | +$118 |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026? | No | 455.9 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $392 | +$41 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 398.2 | 80¢ | 98¢ | $392 | +$74 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 388 | 51¢ | 85¢ | $330 | +$132 |
| Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 379.3 | 68¢ | 86¢ | $324 | +$66 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 12¢ | 13¢ | $300 | +$33 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 257 | 70¢ | 98¢ | $252 | +$73 |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | No | 241.1 | 74¢ | 95¢ | $229 | +$50 |
| Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026? | No | 303.1 | 70¢ | 75¢ | $227 | +$14 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 222 | 86¢ | 97¢ | $215 | +$24 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 222 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $209 | +$15 |
| Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026? | No | 250.5 | 87¢ | 83¢ | $207 | -$11 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 222 | 48¢ | 81¢ | $179 | +$72 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1.9K | 42¢ | 8.0¢ | $152 | -$645 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 132.2 | 80¢ | 97¢ | $129 | +$23 |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? | No | 152.8 | 74¢ | 79¢ | $121 | +$8 |
| Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31? | No | 102.8 | 65¢ | 93¢ | $95 | +$28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1.1K | 39¢ | 8.5¢ | $94 | -$339 |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026? | No | 90.7 | 81¢ | 86¢ | $78 | +$4 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 222 | 19¢ | 31¢ | $68 | +$26 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | No | 4K | 64¢ | 1.6¢ | $64 | -$2,492 |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | No | 65 | 79¢ | 92¢ | $59 | +$8 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 111 | 53¢ | 52¢ | $57 | -$2 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | No | 50.2 | 51¢ | 91¢ | $46 | +$20 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes | 444 | 34¢ | 10.0¢ | $44 | -$107 |
| Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 4.8K | 7.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $43 | -$309 |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | No | 45 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $43 | +$4 |
| Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026? | No | 50 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $43 | +$1 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 111 | 39¢ | 30¢ | $33 | -$9 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 832 | 54¢ | 3.3¢ | $27 | -$422 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.1K | 16¢ | 2.3¢ | $26 | -$152 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 279.7 | 85¢ | 8.1¢ | $23 | -$216 |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026? | No | 20 | 32¢ | 96¢ | $19 | +$13 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 16¢ | 1.7¢ | $18 | -$159 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 222 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | $14 | -$26 |
| Ben Pasternak jailed? | Yes | 438 | 63¢ | 2.0¢ | $9 | -$268 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 55 | 28¢ | 8.0¢ | $4 | -$11 |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes | 55 | 27¢ | 5.5¢ | $3 | -$12 |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 556 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $2 | -$4 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 1.2K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$240 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 1.1K | 15¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$163 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 605 | 16¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$96 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 555 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$172 |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.4K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$975 |
| Dolphins vs. Jets | Jets | 222 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$147 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 1.1K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$633 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 222 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$149 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.1K | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,394 |
| Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | Yes | 22 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 111 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 9.7K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6,810 |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$997 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 333 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$93 |