Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $801·Volume $18.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$305 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered60¢90¢at 16:13(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$801
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $305 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $305 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:13
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $310 |