| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 744.8 | 2.4¢ | 13¢ | $101 | +$83 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | No | 141 | 62¢ | 36¢ | $50 | -$37 |
| Will between 57 and 59 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government? | Yes | 64.8 | 9.1¢ | 39¢ | $26 | +$20 |
| Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government? | Yes | 67 | 9.1¢ | 28¢ | $19 | +$13 |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | No | 49.1 | 40¢ | 36¢ | $18 | -$2 |
| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 35.1K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $18 | -$1,153 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | Yes | 21 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $16 | +$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 30 | 36¢ | 47¢ | $14 | +$3 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | No | 100 | 29¢ | 14¢ | $14 | -$16 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 31 | 27¢ | 43¢ | $13 | +$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 33 | 8.3¢ | 39¢ | $13 | +$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 36 | 28¢ | 32¢ | $12 | +$1 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $10 | -$108 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $10 | -$108 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 26 | 22¢ | 36¢ | $9 | +$4 |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 20.9 | 17¢ | 43¢ | $9 | +$5 |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 5.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $9 | -$90 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? | No | 21 | 48¢ | 40¢ | $8 | -$2 |
| Will between 48 and 50 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government? | Yes | 67 | 9.1¢ | 12¢ | $8 | +$2 |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 12.5 | 60¢ | 64¢ | $8 | +$0 |
| Will Team Spirit win 1win Essence III? | No | 18.1 | 59¢ | 42¢ | $8 | -$3 |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.6K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $7 | -$464 |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.6K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $7 | -$464 |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.6K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $7 | -$464 |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.6K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $7 | -$464 |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.6K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $7 | -$464 |
| Will exactly 11 candidates appear on the first-round ballot of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 13¢ | 13¢ | $7 | +$0 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $6 | -$62 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | 1.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $6 | -$62 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? | No | 21 | 32¢ | 26¢ | $5 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 4.5 | 7.7¢ | 97¢ | $4 | +$4 |
| Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 4.5 | 12¢ | 99¢ | $4 | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? | No | 4.4 | 68¢ | 99¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 4.5 | 39¢ | 97¢ | $4 | +$3 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | No | 4.7 | 69¢ | 87¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.1 | 2.6¢ | 5.0¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will Trump issue 20-24 vetoes by December 31, 2027? | No | 5 | 59¢ | 79¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Democrat not win the 2028 presidential election? | No | 6.2 | 72¢ | 63¢ | $4 | -$1 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | 1.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $4 | -$24 |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 4% to 5.5%? | No | 4 | 75¢ | 94¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? | No | 4 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $4 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 33 | 8.3¢ | 11¢ | $4 | +$1 |
| Will Pierre Céré win the 2026 Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie by-election? | No | 4.5 | 23¢ | 79¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 976.4 | 2.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $3 | -$20 |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | No | 3.9 | 80¢ | 87¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will Céline Amaudruz win the Swiss Federal Council by-election? | No | 4.2 | 76¢ | 82¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.8K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$115 |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Salvador Illa be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Emiliano García-Page be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Félix Bolaños be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Juanma Moreno be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will between 54 and 56 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government? | Yes | 67 | 9.1¢ | 5.0¢ | $3 | -$3 |
| Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6.7K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$112 |
| Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC before January 2027? | Yes | 111 | 20¢ | 3.0¢ | $3 | -$19 |
| Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | No | 3.4 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? | No | 4.3 | 79¢ | 78¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 16¢ | $3 | +$2 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.5K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$111 |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $3 | -$109 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | No | 4 | 85¢ | 78¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting? | No | 3.9 | 60¢ | 78¢ | $3 | +$1 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 868.2 | 3.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $3 | -$30 |
| Will fewer than 48 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government? | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | 26¢ | $3 | +$2 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 13¢ | $3 | +$2 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 254.6 | 20¢ | 1.0¢ | $3 | -$48 |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | No | 4 | 67¢ | 67¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | No | 4 | 70¢ | 66¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31? | Yes | 2.9 | 90¢ | 90¢ | $3 | $0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 50 | 7.7¢ | 5.0¢ | $3 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 5.2¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | 4.9¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 5.8¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 684.7 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $2 | -$17 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 125 | 13¢ | 1.9¢ | $2 | -$13 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 2.4 | 76¢ | 100¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 22 | 21¢ | 10¢ | $2 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 4.5 | 24¢ | 50¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$55 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 15.6 | 9.1¢ | 14¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 17, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 10¢ | $2 | +$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? | No | 4.9 | 45¢ | 44¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 9%-12%? | No | 2.4 | 62¢ | 87¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Memphis Tigers Win the 2026 American Conference? | No | 3 | 65¢ | 71¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 4.4¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? | No | 3.1 | 54¢ | 64¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 2.7 | 55¢ | 73¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 3.8¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | No | 3.6 | 35¢ | 54¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 272.9 | 4.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $2 | -$9 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3.8K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$145 |
| Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election? | No | 2.9 | 70¢ | 65¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 2.9 | 45¢ | 66¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 260m? | Yes | 758.7 | 17¢ | 0.2¢ | $2 | -$125 |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.7K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$102 |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.7K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$102 |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.7K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$102 |
| Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.7K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$102 |
| Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.1 | 2.6¢ | 2.3¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will there be no GPT Astra 6.1+ release by November 30, 2026? | No | 2 | 61¢ | 95¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 3.7K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$121 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 2 | 78¢ | 91¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 3.6K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $2 | -$99 |
| Will Texas State Bobcats Win the 2026 Pac-12 Championship? | No | 2.3 | 92¢ | 80¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $2 | -$13 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 10, 2026? | No | 2 | 84¢ | 92¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | No | 2 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 30 | 2.7¢ | 5.5¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $851,000 and $870,000 on December 31? | No | 1.9 | 94¢ | 87¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the February meeting? | Yes | 115.5 | 20¢ | 1.4¢ | $2 | -$21 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 42 | 2.9¢ | 3.8¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$24 |
| Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$24 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$24 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $2 | -$24 |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 2.8 | 58¢ | 56¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 18, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 7.4¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 42 | 2.9¢ | 3.7¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | No | 2.2 | 88¢ | 71¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 7.2¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will PARIVISION win 1win Essence III? | No | 2.3 | 52¢ | 67¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | No | 1.6 | 32¢ | 97¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 42 | 2.9¢ | 3.6¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | No | 2 | 51¢ | 74¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026? | No | 2 | 78¢ | 76¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will PP win the Spanish election by 8-14 seats over PSOE? | Yes | 7.9 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 7.2¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 0%-10%? | No | 3 | 35¢ | 47¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Clarence Thomas be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 92 | 11¢ | 1.6¢ | $1 | -$9 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5 | 71¢ | 93¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 49.8 | 2.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 2.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$68 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement? | No | 1.5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 14.6 | 9.1¢ | 9.4¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $1 | -$9 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 3 | 13¢ | 46¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Ra'am + Joint List? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Tencent be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 3.3¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22? | No | 21 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Confessions II (Madonna) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 29 | 2.4¢ | 4.7¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 209.1 | 2.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $1 | -$5 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | No | 1.6 | 72¢ | 87¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October? | No | 1.5 | 68¢ | 88¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 23.5 | 4.2¢ | 5.6¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 2.5¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 3.1¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$100 |
| Will The Baddest Speechwriter of All win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | 26¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 428 | 1.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$6 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 232.5 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$45 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 2.7 | 7.7¢ | 47¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$96 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$96 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 842 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$10 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 9, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 4.0¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 3.2 | 80¢ | 39¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 818.8 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$30 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 2.5¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 2.4K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$72 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 2.4K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$72 |
| Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 8.8 | 3.0¢ | 14¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will Malaysia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final? | No | 3 | 53¢ | 40¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Martinique win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 3.9¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 1.8¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$82 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 14.3 | 3.8¢ | 8.0¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31? | No | 2.2 | 31¢ | 52¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting? | No | 2.4 | 45¢ | 47¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Olli Rehn be the next President of the European Central Bank? | Yes | 40 | 0.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 2.2K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$65 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 2.2K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$65 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 4.9 | 20¢ | 22¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 1.8¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 165 | 20¢ | 0.7¢ | $1 | -$32 |
| Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 2.1K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 2.1K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$64 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 23.3 | 2.9¢ | 4.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 1.1 | 40¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 50% or more? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 5.3¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2.1K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$57 |
| Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election? | Yes | 2K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$67 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 21, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 3.3¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-04 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 1 | 71¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PP and PSOE win the same number of seats in the Spanish election? | Yes | 15 | 10¢ | 6.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1K | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$201 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | No | 2.2 | 68¢ | 47¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 1.9¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 5.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000? | No | 1 | 85¢ | 99¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.10T and $1.40T at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 11 | 14¢ | 9.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 215 | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 173 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$34 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 20.9 | 3.8¢ | 4.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 10, 2026? | Yes | 29.8 | 3.4¢ | 3.1¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 23.8 | 2.9¢ | 3.9¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 370.3 | 4.5¢ | 0.2¢ | $1 | -$16 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 30 | 8.3¢ | 3.0¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will Aruba take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 11¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 39.3 | 11¢ | 2.3¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 2.3¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 356.4 | 2.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$9 |
| Will Diable play for Team Heretics in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 4.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 589.2 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$26 |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 2.1¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 89.4 | 2.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 1.3¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 4.0¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 16, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 4.0¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | No | 1 | 81¢ | 86¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 32 | 10¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 34.6 | 3.0¢ | 2.4¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 4.0¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | No | 4.4 | 35¢ | 19¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 165 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$32 |
| Will Diable play for LGD Gaming in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 4.1¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.4 | 4.0¢ | 34¢ | $1 | +$1 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 146.9 | 4.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$5 |
| Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.4 | 33¢ | 33¢ | $1 | $0 |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 1 | 92¢ | 80¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 23, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 3.8¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? | No | 1 | 89¢ | 82¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 3.1¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | No | 0.9 | 51¢ | 93¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 14.3 | 3.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 3.7¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 3.7¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$14 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 3.1¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.1% in October? | Yes | 19.6 | 10¢ | 4.0¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? | No | 0.9 | 97¢ | 85¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | 3.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Diable play for ThunderTalk Gaming in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 3.8¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be between 0% and 0.5%? | No | 1 | 52¢ | 76¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 3.8¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25.3 | 3.3¢ | 3.0¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 3.6¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election by 70%-75%? | No | 0.8 | 65¢ | 98¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Wes Moore win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 3.5¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Saffie Osborne win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | Yes | 165 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Dignitas in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 3.7¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$56 |
| Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? | No | 1.9 | 19¢ | 39¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 3.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 3.5¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 2.9¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 14.9 | 2.9¢ | 4.7¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 83 | 2.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will François Hollande win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 83 | 2.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Ninjas in Pyjamas in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 3.5¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21.7 | 2.9¢ | 3.2¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 3.3¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.9% and 1.1%? | Yes | 81.3 | 14¢ | 0.8¢ | $1 | -$11 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 196.8 | 2.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 19.4 | 20¢ | 3.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? | No | 2 | 57¢ | 34¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more? | No | 4.2 | 5.0¢ | 16¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 1.2¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 1.2¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 3.1¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Vamos win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | Yes | 38.1 | 2.6¢ | 1.7¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 3.0¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.6¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 2.5¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? | Yes | 74.7 | 2.7¢ | 0.8¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? | Yes | 28.6 | 14¢ | 2.2¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 138.5 | 17¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$22 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | No | 4.8 | 19¢ | 13¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Whalefall win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 64.8 | 2.6¢ | 0.9¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Guatemala win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 2.1¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 408.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$6 |
| Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 408.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$6 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 2.9¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 0.7 | 73¢ | 93¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Paolo Banchero win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 405.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$6 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25.3 | 3.3¢ | 2.4¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | No | 3.8 | 34¢ | 16¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth <17%? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 2.9¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 131 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | 2.4¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$15 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 167.5 | 2.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will Nate Ament win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 35% or more? | No | 0.6 | 72¢ | 100¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 1.2¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Cloud9 in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 2.9¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 2.7¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Nvidia be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 3.2¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 65%-70%? | No | 21 | 47¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 70% or more? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? | Yes | 3 | 4.8¢ | 18¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 84.8 | 20¢ | 0.6¢ | $1 | -$16 |
| Will Diable play for LNG Esports in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 2.8¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$7 |
| Will Aleš Vrhovec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 362 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$10 |
| Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.4¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | No | 1.2 | 45¢ | 46¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win North Carolina in the 2028 Presidential Election? | No | 1.2 | 18¢ | 43¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 2.6¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$25 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 5.2¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 210.5 | 3.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $1 | -$8 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 350.3 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 30.8 | 4.0¢ | 1.7¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will The Life of a Showgirl (Taylor Swift) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 131 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $1 | -$3 |
| Will StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 4.0¢ | 3.8¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 34.6 | 3.0¢ | 1.5¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 25 bps at the February meeting? | Yes | 86.1 | 20¢ | 0.6¢ | $1 | -$17 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 103 | 2.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + Shas + UTJ? | Yes | 102.5 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $1 | -$4 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 1.9 | 2.0¢ | 28¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.0% in October? | Yes | 10 | 10¢ | 5.1¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will the DPP win Taipei and the KMT win New Taipei? | Yes | 29.1 | 20¢ | 1.7¢ | $1 | -$5 |
| Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 5.0¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$202 |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 1K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $1 | -$202 |
| Will Josh Hoover win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 1.0¢ | $1 | -$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.3 | 2.9¢ | 3.8¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Stephen Miller be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 2.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 0.5 | 55¢ | 98¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Mongolia come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.1¢ | 3.3¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 2.5¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October? | No | 1.7 | 31¢ | 28¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 36 | 9.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF + Maori? | Yes | 322.4 | 5.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will ByteDance be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP + Yashar? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ + Otzma + RZP + YB? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + YB + Shas + UTJ? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| 275-279 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? | Yes | 157.6 | 11¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 942 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| James Collier announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 942 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 942 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 942 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 942 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 30% or more? | Yes | 3.6 | 10¢ | 13¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Shas + UTJ? | Yes | 102.5 | 4.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Samuel Alito be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 92 | 11¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 60%-65%? | No | 0.5 | 64¢ | 99¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will there be 0 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 30.4 | 20¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Peru take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 5.2¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 22 | 17¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 23, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 19.6 | 3.0¢ | 2.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 46 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 41.3 | 3.0¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 4.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 287.3 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 2.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kewan Lacy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meta have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | No | 1 | 41¢ | 42¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 120.4 | 17¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 279.3 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 279.3 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 11.4 | 2.9¢ | 3.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Luke Littler win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | Yes | 165 | 1.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Vox win the second-most seats in Guadalajara in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 1 | 56¢ | 42¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 818.3 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more? | No | 3.8 | 0.7¢ | 11¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 3.9¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| 270-274 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? | Yes | 49.6 | 11¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Cambodia take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 4.5¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 77.5 | 7.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 25 | 4.0¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or less in October? | Yes | 14.3 | 10¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Spain take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 4.4¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Curaçao take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 4.4¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? | No | 0.4 | 94¢ | 92¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | No | 0.8 | 37¢ | 46¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Ecuador take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 4.4¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election? | Yes | 2.8 | 2.7¢ | 14¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 34.6 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar? | Yes | 75 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats + Shas? | Yes | 75 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + Democrats + Shas + UTJ + Ra'am? | Yes | 75 | 4.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Ante Budimir (Osasuna) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | No | 0.5 | 80¢ | 78¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 0.4 | 75¢ | 95¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 62 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 62 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 18.5 | 3.0¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Revolut have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 60.9 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in November? | Yes | 91 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 241.9 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 715.6 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will David Lisnard win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 707.9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 707.9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 707.9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 707.9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 20.2 | 3.0¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Sarah Knafo receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bolivia take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Guadeloupe take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will "stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 690.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 62 | 10¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Diable play for DN SOOPers in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 4.3 | 9.1¢ | 7.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31? | Yes | 32.1 | 14¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Jay Clayton be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 8.6 | 3.0¢ | 3.9¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? | Yes | 222.6 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$37 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 665 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 665 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | No | 4 | 13¢ | 8.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Trinidad and Tobago win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Ahmad Hardy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the ECB decrease the deposit facility rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 10 | 20¢ | 3.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Russia take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.7¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will PP receive 36% or more of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 4.1 | 17¢ | 7.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Kamala Harris 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | Yes | 58.3 | 11¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 45%-50%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Movistar KOI in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 90.5 | 17¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 63.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Podemos win the second-most seats in Toledo in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 7.4 | 2.8¢ | 4.3¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 52.7 | 11¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Nicaragua take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Nigeria take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Namibia take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kozo Tashima be the next President of FIFA? | Yes | 31 | 2.8¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 3.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 51 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 10 | 20¢ | 3.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.3 | 2.9¢ | 2.9¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Dominican Republic take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.5¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | No | 0.7 | 52¢ | 40¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 602.8 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Junts win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 6 | 2.7¢ | 5.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will KlingAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? | No | 0.6 | 47¢ | 53¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 54 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Moonshot be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 42.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 196.8 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO? | Yes | 147 | 11¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%? | Yes | 83 | 11¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? | Yes | 83 | 11¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Diable play for LYON in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will 6 or fewer candidates appear on the first-round ballot of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 29 | 13¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 4 | 9.0¢ | 7.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | Yes | 4.1 | 4.8¢ | 7.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 52.1 | 10¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 572.1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 572.1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Shas + UTJ? | Yes | 95 | 4.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 63.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | No | 3.3 | 6.0¢ | 8.5¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will OG win BLAST Slam IX? | Yes | 21 | 4.5¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election? | Yes | 3.6 | 10¢ | 7.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 566.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31? | Yes | 19.4 | 14¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will El Salvador take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.2¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Portugal take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.2¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| 280 or more votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? | Yes | 186.6 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 558.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 3.0¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 556.1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 46 | 2.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | No | 0.3 | 78¢ | 91¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 9, 2026? | Yes | 61 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%? | Yes | 44 | 13¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will TSMC be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 526.1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 0%-30%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Markwayne Mullin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| 265-269 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? | Yes | 173.8 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 40 | 1.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 517 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 102.4 | 20¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? | Yes | 13 | 17¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 506.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will Neuralink have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 506.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 46 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori? | Yes | 505.6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour? | Yes | 505.6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| Will Stripe have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 505.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 505.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | No | 0.4 | 79¢ | 63¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Revolut have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 504.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | Yes | 14 | 14¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 503.1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 167.3 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 167.3 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Bo Jackson win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will François Asselineau receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | 2.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 5.0¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 83 | 2.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 163 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 163 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 163 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 163 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 163 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 13.6 | 8.3¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 486.8 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$48 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will James Talarico win the Nevada Democratic primary? | Yes | 21 | 3.8¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for SK Gaming in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Canada take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 3.0¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 3.0¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MIBR Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Astralis Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Eternal Fire Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Ninjas in Pyjamas Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will HEROIC Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will DENDELE Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will 100 Thieves Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Canva have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 474 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$47 |
| Will Meta be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 471.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will Perng Shaw-jiin win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? | Yes | 468 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Mexico take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 77.4 | 11¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Zay Flowers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 2.3¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? | No | 0.2 | 68¢ | 96¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 13, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will 1w Team win BLAST Slam IX? | Yes | 21 | 4.5¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for G2 Esports in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 46 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.8 | 3.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 2.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 8.3 | 9.1¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Maori? | Yes | 455.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election? | Yes | 30.3 | 2.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Deni Avdija win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 453.8 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | No | 2.7 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 451.6 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 450.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Malta take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Mikel Oyarzabal (Real Sociedad) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Borja Iglesias (Celta Vigo) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)? | Yes | 22.4 | 20¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 445.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Meta be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 445.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 445.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 445.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will TSMC be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 445.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 445.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 444.2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will FNS Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Diable play for Sentinels in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Diable play for FlyQuest in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 4.3 | 16¢ | 5.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori + NZF? | Yes | 429.7 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF? | Yes | 429.7 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Bam Adebayo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 428 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Austin Reaves win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 428 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Devin Booker win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Jamal Murray win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 428 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 428 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Joel Embiid win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will "stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 428 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Kevin Durant win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will LaMelo Ball win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Zion Williamson win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 428.1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 22.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Pokémon Pokopia" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? | Yes | 30 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 418.2 | 1.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 46 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 0.3 | 55¢ | 64¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 412.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 34.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 408.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 408.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 408.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour? | Yes | 405.6 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will The Drama win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.1 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will PPI YoY be 6.2% in October? | Yes | 6.7 | 10¢ | 3.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Karmine Corp in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 33 | 8.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Iceman (Drake) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 131 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Cryocells play for LOUD in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 390.8 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$78 |
| Will Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 55.8 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Boris Rhein be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 55.8 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Curacao win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Belarus? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National? | Yes | 387.2 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF? | Yes | 387.2 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will Karim López win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Dailyn Swain win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Hannes Steinbach win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 387.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in October? | Yes | 96.5 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 4.3 | 3.3¢ | 4.5¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 384.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD? | Yes | 64 | 4.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.8 | 3.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” sell for at least $105m at auction? | No | 0.2 | 75¢ | 96¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 34.6 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Lynn Vision Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more? | Yes | 21 | 13¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 34.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 34.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Kazakhstan? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will 1win Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 75 | 2.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Serbia? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Ukraine? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 62 | 10¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 4.6 | 4.0¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 4.4 | 20¢ | 4.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Guatemala take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Netherlands take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 18.2 | 10¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 33 | 8.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | Yes | 362 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 29, 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Supertf win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | Yes | 12 | 9.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60.1 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 25% or more? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Suriname win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-06 House election by 5%-15%? | No | 2.5 | 9.6¢ | 7.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 357.6 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 6 | 20¢ | 2.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 2.7 | 26¢ | 6.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 50 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Tatyana Ali win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 115.7 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will "Obsession" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 68.8 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 342.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 342.2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October? | Yes | 84.9 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 56 | 3.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Chang Ching win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 330.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Lin Tai-hua win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 330.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Chiu Yi-ying win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 330.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 330.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.2%? | Yes | 65.3 | 14¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.8 | 3.3¢ | 5.9¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bert Chen win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 0.7 | 4.0¢ | 22¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 14.4 | 9.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 4 | 20¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 550,000 and 600,000? | Yes | 45.2 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another country? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 35 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Tyrese Haliburton win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 310.7 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 19, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 17, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 34.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 307.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 61 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Salvadoran Democracy (DS) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | Yes | 38.1 | 2.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 303.8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21.7 | 20¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Qatar? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ho Chih-yung win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? | Yes | 300 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 33 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 295.7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 36.8 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Cryocells play for Team Envy in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 293.7 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will JD Vance be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 58 | 11¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Aston Villa finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Jamaica take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in South Africa? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 3.0¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Imperial Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Wildcard Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will FlyQuest Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Chinggis Warriors Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will M80 Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? | Yes | 94.9 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amon-Ra St. Brown win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 30% or more? | Yes | 281.4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026? | Yes | 279.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$46 |
| Will Salman bin Ebrahim Al Khalifa be the next President of FIFA? | Yes | 31 | 2.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.5 | 17¢ | 29¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in November 2026? | Yes | 25.2 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Podemos win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 277.6 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 277.6 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 277.3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$46 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 277.3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$46 |
| Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "The Blood of Dawnwalker" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? | Yes | 30 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Serbia take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 24, 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 2.4 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be less than $50M by November 30? | Yes | 265 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$38 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 263.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 261.6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will TSMC be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Meta be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 260.3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Diable play for Natus Vincere in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 11.8 | 9.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 258.2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 42.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Keith Sonderling be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 21 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will François Hollande win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 41.9 | 2.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 25 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 249.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 249.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 249.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026? | Yes | 249.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026? | Yes | 249.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 11.8 | 9.1¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 35.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | Yes | 246 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will France take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | 1.3¢ | 3.3¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the #2 song for 2026? | Yes | 243.8 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.1 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Cry to Heaven win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 81.1 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | Yes | 81 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Jan Teplý be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | Yes | 27 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? | Yes | 242.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$40 |
| Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 241.9 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 241.9 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Austria? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Shifters in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Finland? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 79.9 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 79.1 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + Maori? | Yes | 234.7 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Emma Stone be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | Yes | 39 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 39 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 38.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will María Teresa Guerra Ochoa win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Saturn Return win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 75.1 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another European country? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 31.9 | 20¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 223 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 220.4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| Will Cryocells play for Cloud9 in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will CZ post 140-159 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will CZ post 120-139 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? | Yes | 219.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$37 |
| Will Ernest Theron be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 218.8 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 72.6 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Nontando Nolutshungu be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 72.7 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 22, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 18, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 24, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Argentina take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 30% or more? | Yes | 36 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 2.6 | 10¢ | 4.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CaseOh win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | Yes | 5.6 | 9.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Italy? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 13, 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another Middle East/North Africa country? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Brazil? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Egypt? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Slovakia? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Vatican City? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 209.4 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 27, 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will François Ruffin win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 209.4 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 208.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 208.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6% or more? | Yes | 208.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 208.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 208.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 15%-25%? | Yes | 26 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Costa Rica take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 207.6 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 207 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 34.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Chile take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | 1.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 67.8 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 202.8 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be negative? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Sarah Pidgeon be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Wagner Moura be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will China take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 196.8 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | Yes | 19.5 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori? | Yes | 194.1 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.60T at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 40% or more? | Yes | 63.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%? | No | 0.2 | 23¢ | 48¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will The Whisper Man win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be 1,800,000 or more? | Yes | 11.4 | 13¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | Yes | 1.3 | 14¢ | 6.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bangladesh come in 2nd place at Eurovision Asia 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Azerbaijan? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 36 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between December 21 and December 27, 2026? | Yes | 177.1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$16 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000? | Yes | 35 | 13¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | Yes | 57.8 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 0.9 | 17¢ | 10¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Brock Bowers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nico Collins win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 275,000 and 300,000? | Yes | 10.1 | 13¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Chovy have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be 600,000 or more? | Yes | 24 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 6% or more? | Yes | 167.7 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 167.5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Angela Merkel be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 55.8 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 166.1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Evan Mobley win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 165 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election? | Yes | 33 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election? | Yes | 27.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026? | Yes | 163 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 162.7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 3.6 | 10¢ | 2.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.1 | 76¢ | 78¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 53.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amazon be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? | Yes | 53 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Eminem be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Revolut have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 39 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Databricks have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 39 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Justin Bieber be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 156 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Listen win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? | Yes | 51.2 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Brendan Sorsby win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Austin Mack win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Dani Olmo (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will John Mateer win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anthony Gordon (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Iñaki Williams (Athletic Club) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Oihan Sancet (Athletic Club) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Karim Adeyemi (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Hugo Duro (Valencia) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Javi Puado (Espanyol) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Dodi Lukebakio (Sevilla) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Black Forest Labs have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Alexander Sørloth (Atlético Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Will Hammond win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Rocco Becht win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Gonzalo García (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Iago Aspas (Celta Vigo) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic Club) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Álex Baena (Atlético Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 150 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Rell win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final? | Yes | 1 | 7.7¢ | 7.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 148 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$30 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000? | No | 0.1 | 66¢ | 55¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 49 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | Yes | 146 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | Yes | 146 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | Yes | 146 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? | Yes | 146 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | Yes | 146 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 47.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2029? | Yes | 10.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 47 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Te Pāti Māori win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 140.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 140.1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Thinky be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 140.1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 29%+? | Yes | 20 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17.5 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 4.3 | 7.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jordan Bardella receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.2 | 2.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 34.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 350,000 and 400,000? | Yes | 6.2 | 14¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? | Yes | 136.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election? | Yes | 68 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? | Yes | 136.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 13.6 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 135.1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Israel win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? | Yes | 45 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in India? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will César Díaz win the next Quito mayoral election? | Yes | 1.9 | 2.4¢ | 3.6¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Diable play for Shopify Rebellion in 2027? | Yes | 13.5 | 2.4¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? | Yes | 33.6 | 11¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 134.1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Anduril have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 33.5 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will James Talarico win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 28, 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 400,000 and 450,000? | Yes | 4 | 14¢ | 1.7¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally (Harry Styles) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 131 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will West End Girl (Lily Allen) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 131 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Arirang (BTS) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 131 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | No | 4.7 | 24¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Anthony Davis win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 130 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Utah Jazz finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? | Yes | 7.6 | 6.3¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tyler Cameron win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Taylor Hanson win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Guillermo Rodriguez win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Giada De Laurentiis win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Jackson Olson win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Julia Stiles win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Ciara Miller win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Sarah Jane Nader win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Conner Leavitt win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 128 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 30% or more? | Yes | 25 | 10¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 25 | 10¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026? | Yes | 6 | 10¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 0.5 | 26¢ | 12¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will LYON be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Moana be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will StableRonaldo win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | Yes | 5.6 | 9.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 10.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 120.6 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | Yes | 15 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%? | Yes | 15 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Alberto Martínez Simón win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%? | Yes | 24 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Poland? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kate Hudson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $446,000 on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October? | Yes | 5 | 14¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 40 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 24 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Luma AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 4 | 9.1¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October? | Yes | 117.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Mistral have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 117.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000? | Yes | 11.6 | 14¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? | Yes | 115.9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 21, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 15, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 13, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 27, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Michael win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Clarissa win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting? | Yes | 4 | 20¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Fatherland win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 115 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election? | Yes | 23 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 23, 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Diable play for Fnatic in 2027? | Yes | 2 | 2.4¢ | 2.9¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will UK annual inflation be at least 4.3% in October? | Yes | 38 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 25, 2026? | Yes | 10.3 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 14 | 4.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 22.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will TheDonato Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Hungrybox Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Mixwell Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will NiceWigg Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will ZooMaa Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Gotaga Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | Yes | 111 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? | No | 0.9 | 15¢ | 5.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Priscilla Delgado be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 8.5 | 1.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 36.6 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election? | Yes | 2.8 | 2.7¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 36 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 36 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? | Yes | 15 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 600,000 and 675,000? | Yes | 21 | 13¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 675,000 and 750,000? | Yes | 21 | 13¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Poolside be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000? | Yes | 35 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 3.6 | 10¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 4.9 | 3.0¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more? | Yes | 2 | 8.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kentucky be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Chen Chien-hsien win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 100.3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Lin Szu-ming win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 100.3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Pixverse have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-06 House election by 45% or more? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Jim McDermott win the AK-AL House seat? | Yes | 100 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Pruna have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Runway have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 9 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%? | Yes | 33 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in October? | Yes | 97.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Atlético Madrid finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Sporting CP finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will India take third place in Miss Universe 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | 1.3¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will another team finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? | Yes | 7.6 | 6.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Thinky have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will TreVeyon Henderson win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 3.6 | 10¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jamaica win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 15%-25%? | Yes | 30 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Yolanda Paredes win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 9%-12%? | Yes | 3 | 4.3¢ | 1.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 35% or more? | Yes | 90 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Haiti win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 30 | 2.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Lilian Samaniego win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 30 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "The Fall of El Mayo: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 89.9 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will "From: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 89.9 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will François Hollande win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lucila Ayala de Moreschi win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Graciela Domínguez Nava win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tomás de Jesús López Bajo win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $700B and $800B at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Perplexity have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? | Yes | 21.6 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 86.4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5% or more? | Yes | 86 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 86 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 86 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 25% or more? | Yes | 86 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 21.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 84.7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Keria have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 5%-15%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 65%-70%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%? | Yes | 83 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be less than 3.4%? | Yes | 83 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be at least 5.5%? | Yes | 83 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%? | Yes | 83 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic sell between 11% and 12% of its shares in its IPO? | Yes | 82 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will A.J. Brown win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jared Leto be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Damson Idris be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 20 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be less than 400,000? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 3.9 | 4.0¢ | 1.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 35% or more? | Yes | 26 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $600B and $700B at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 77.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Bernardo Jijón win the next Quito mayoral election? | Yes | 11 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 13, 2026? | Yes | 11 | 3.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Son Ye-jin be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 5.9 | 1.3¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 25.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | 14¢ | 6.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 3.2 | 8.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 26, 2026? | Yes | 15.1 | 3.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? | Yes | 15 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 Action of the Year? | Yes | 25 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? | Yes | 2.1 | 20¢ | 1.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 74.9 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 74 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 22, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 26, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Cryocells play for Evil Geniuses in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Cryocells play for MIBR in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will François Ruffin win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Roger Solomons be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Fiona Abrahams be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Ellen Pakkies be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Dereleen James be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Brett Herron be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Luvuyo Zondani be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 73 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | Yes | 72.6 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 72.6 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%? | Yes | 72.6 | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the February meeting? | Yes | 9.1 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 71.9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Guillermo Romero Rodríguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 23.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Breece Hall win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ashton Jeanty win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 69.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 69 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Pete Buttigieg Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? | Yes | 23 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Kamala Harris Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? | Yes | 23 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Wildwood win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 69 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 23 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? | Yes | 7.6 | 6.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 68 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Yike win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Chika win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Gury win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kino win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Doggo win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will POUT win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Shad0w win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Rest win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bie win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Eddie win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Dire win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Hizto win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Pun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Busio win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Caliste win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will kyeahoo win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will SiuLoong win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Canna win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Labrov win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Hans Sama win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Caps win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | 14¢ | 5.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SkewMond win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will BrokenBlade win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Wenbo win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Career win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Smash win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ShowMaker win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Siwoo win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bluffing win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Gumayusi win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Zeka win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kanavi win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Doran win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 67.8 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 68 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 68 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? | No | 0.2 | 34¢ | 21¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.8 | 3.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? | Yes | 1 | 6.3¢ | 3.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 7.3 | 10¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 65.3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Ty Jerome win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 65 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be less than 225,000? | Yes | 8 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Roma finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + L? | Yes | 64 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + V? | Yes | 64 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + L? | Yes | 64 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Jojopyun have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 31.9 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Udo Di Fabio be the next President of Germany? | Yes | 5.8 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ricardo Madrid Pérez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Estrella Palacios Domínguez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | No | 1.1 | 10¢ | 3.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 63.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 21% or more? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Pipsqueak+4 win BLAST Slam IX? | Yes | 21 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Thinky be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Jalen Johnson win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | Yes | 21 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000? | Yes | 20.9 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 15%-18%? | Yes | 20.9 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M? | Yes | 4.1 | 4.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 61.3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 61 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 45% or more? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-03 House election by 5%-15%? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Diable play for Disguised in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 59 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 19.7 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 19.7 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? | Yes | 0.5 | 20¢ | 6.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 19.7 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.4 | 5.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election? | Yes | 19.4 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Torino win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Udinese win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Cagliari win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Fiorentina win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Genoa win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Parma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Monza win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Sassuolo win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Venezia win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | Yes | 58 | 4.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Lars-Erik Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | Yes | 19.1 | 3.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | Yes | 19.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Podemos win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 19 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 25, 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Huelva in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 19 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in October? | Yes | 56.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Chappell Roan be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Beyoncé be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Lady Gaga be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will The Weeknd be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist in the US for 2026? | Yes | 56.3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Sergio Torres Félix win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 1 | 12¢ | 2.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? | Yes | 7.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 54.5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 54 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 54 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Josh Kerr win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | Yes | 0.8 | 1.1¢ | 3.3¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 53 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in November 2026? | Yes | 5.2 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? | Yes | 0.8 | 2.0¢ | 3.1¢ | $0 | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31? | Yes | 0.7 | 14¢ | 3.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 5.1 | 2.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 51.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 50.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be less than 1,400,000? | Yes | 10.1 | 17¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | Yes | 50.3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 50 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will October 2026 be the 4th or lower on record? | Yes | 50 | 25¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kamario Taylor win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Marcel Reed win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Byrum Brown win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Jadan Baugh win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bryce Underwood win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Demond Williams Jr. win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 50 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 50 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Donald Trump win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Yes | 0.9 | 7.2¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 48.9 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 48.3 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 48 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 2 | 8.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 20, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 3.4¢ | 2.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 47 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Thinky have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Tencent have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 47.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 40% or more? | Yes | 47 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 15.6 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000? | Yes | 9.3 | 13¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? | Yes | 11.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 6.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October? | Yes | 22.5 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will StepFun be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 45 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 900,000 and 1,000,000? | Yes | 44.1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 7.3 | 10¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Swim – BTS be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | Yes | 43.1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Dhokla have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Hope have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kael have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ZUIAN have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tian have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Creme have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will JackeyLove have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Zhuo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will 369 have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will TheShy have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Wei have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Rookie have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Meiko have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Assum have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will BrokenBlade have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SkewMond have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Caps have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Hans Sama have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Labrov have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Myrwn have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elyoya have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tarzan have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Supa have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Alvaro have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NightSlayer have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Canna have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will kyeahoo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Busio have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Pun have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Hizto have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Dire have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eddie have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bie have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Rest have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Shad0w have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will POUT have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Doggo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kino have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kratos have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gury have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Chika have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Harky have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SiuLoong have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SanSan have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Morgan have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Josedeodo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Quid have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yeon have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CoreJJ have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Thanatos have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Blaber have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Loki have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tactical have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Vulcan have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will APA have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Zven have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Inspired have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Saint have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Berserker have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Isles have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Zest have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Curse have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Feisty have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Duduhh have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ackerman have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Breathe have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Wenbo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Flandre have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ON have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xun have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bin have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Career have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ShowMaker have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lucid have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Siwoo have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bluffing have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Delight have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gumayusi have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kanavi have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Zeus have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Faker have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Oner have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Doran have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Duro have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Canyon have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kiin have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Shanks have the most kills at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 42.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election? | Yes | 2.8 | 2.7¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be less than 600,000? | Yes | 21 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + SD? | Yes | 14 | 4.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 45% or more? | Yes | 42 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? | Yes | 6 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Amazon be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 42 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 3.8 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 6 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 41 | 2.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 41 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 41 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 41 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 13.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 40.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election? | Yes | 13.6 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.8 | 17¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Millie Bobby Brown be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Toby Wallace be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 0%-15%? | Yes | 40 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | Yes | 4 | 13¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Blake Lively be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ioan Gruffudd be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will there be between 10 and 14 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30? | Yes | 0.5 | 14¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Channing Tatum be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 8 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anna Van Patten be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Justin Baldoni be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will So Ji Sub be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 39.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 39 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 39 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 40% or more? | Yes | 39 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 0.2 | 12¢ | 11¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 38.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 38 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? | Yes | 37.2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 36.6 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 0.7 | 11¢ | 2.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election? | Yes | 36 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Lwazi Pakade be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 35.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 480,000 and 520,000? | Yes | 35 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 35 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3% or more? | Yes | 35 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Mistral be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | Yes | 3.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in November 2026? | Yes | 34.7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in November 2026? | Yes | 34.7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in November 2026? | Yes | 34.7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in November 2026? | Yes | 34.7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will New Mexico be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will New Jersey be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Oregon be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Virginia be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Idaho be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Alabama be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Delaware be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Oklahoma be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will New Hampshire be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Wyoming be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Massachusetts be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Colorado be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will West Virginia be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Illinois be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Rhode Island be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 11.3 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October? | Yes | 11.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1.7 | 2.4¢ | 0.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 33 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Maine be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Richard Štěpán be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | Yes | 2.3 | 2.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 10.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 1 | 6.2¢ | 1.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Galatasaray finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Slavia Prague finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Porto finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Feyenoord finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will PSV Eindhoven finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bodø/Glimt finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Slovan Bratislava finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Lille finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Lens finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will RB Leipzig finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Napoli finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Villarreal finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will AEK Athens finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will LASK finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Viking finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 30% or more? | Yes | 32.1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Sabah finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Manchester United finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Inter Milan finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Fenerbahçe finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish first in UCL league phase? | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 8 | 9.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? | Yes | 31 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yossi Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 30.9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 3.4 | 3.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tetairoa McMillan win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Davante Adams win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Josh Jacobs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Marvin Harrison Jr. win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bucky Irving win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Javonte Williams win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amazon be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 30 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election? | Yes | 30 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 30 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Honduras win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup? | Yes | 29.8 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Roxana Rubio Valdez win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 2.9 | 2.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election? | Yes | 29 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election? | Yes | 29 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 6% or more? | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 12%-15%? | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 29 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Maggie Govender be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Thabani Nyawose be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mina Soma-Lesoma be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Nomusa Dube-Ncube be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Zwakele Mncwango be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi be the next mayor of eThekwini? | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election? | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 29 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 35% or more? | Yes | 29 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 29 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 29 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 4.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 28.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%? | Yes | 27 | 7.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will "The Day After Tomorrow" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 3.4 | 2.0¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 3 | 9.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting? | Yes | 0.3 | 20¢ | 4.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 8.4 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? | Yes | 25.1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | No | 0.7 | 28¢ | 1.9¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 25 | 10¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | 14¢ | 2.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | No | 5 | 1.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Cryocells play for G2 Esports in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Cryocells play for FURIA Esports in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Cryocells play for KRÜ Esports in 2027? | Yes | 24.5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Omar López Campos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | Yes | 8 | 2.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 0%-15%? | Yes | 23.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 15%-25%? | Yes | 23.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 23.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 23.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election? | Yes | 23.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 23.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? | No | 1 | 7.0¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 23 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 23 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 23 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 35% or more? | Yes | 23 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 23 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 23 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 0.9 | 7.7¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 22.2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election? | Yes | 22.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 0%-10%? | Yes | 22.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 30% or more? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-06 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 7.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 12%-15%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-24 House election by 15%-18%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will MiniMax be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-02 House election by 0%-20%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-11 House election by 45% or more? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 30%-40%? | Yes | 21 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will KT be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Justin Bieber have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Coldplay have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Ed Sheeran have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Ariana Grande have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will FLY be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will WBG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will CFO be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Shakira have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Michael Jackson have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 20.8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will DCG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will BFX be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%? | Yes | 2.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will GAM be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will TSW be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will WE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will MKOI be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will NIP be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will C9 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will JDG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will TLAW be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will G2 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will KC be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will TES be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | Yes | 20.6 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be at least $2.00 on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.8 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Baidu be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kyren Williams win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Jayden Daniels win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election? | Yes | 2 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tencent be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 20 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Diable play for KIWOOM DRX in 2027? | Yes | 20 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will CZ post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Chase Brown win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 20 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Rashee Rice win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 1.7 | 9.1¢ | 0.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 6.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will PP win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 19.7 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 6.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 6.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 45% or more? | Yes | 19.4 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 19.4 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Kratos win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | Yes | 19.2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 30% or more? | Yes | 1.2 | 9.1¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? | Yes | 6.3 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 18.4 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany? | No | 0.2 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 1,550,000 and 1,700,000? | Yes | 6 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 6 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 18 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will François Ruffin win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.7 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 17.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | 17.7 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 17.5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run ahead of Jon Ossoff? | Yes | 17 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 16.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 16.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 17 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Mareldia Chowglay be the next mayor of Cape Town? | Yes | 4.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 16.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more? | Yes | 16.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 16.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Joe Bartolozzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | Yes | 5.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election? | Yes | 4 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 60% or more? | Yes | 4 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 15.8 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 15.8 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 15.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "Taken: Natalee Holloway: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 15.3 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will "A Dog's Perfect Christmas" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 5 | 6.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 10%-20%? | Yes | 15.1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Meituan be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 15.2 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Mike Tyson: Return of the Mike" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 5 | 6.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Final Destination Bloodlines" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 5 | 6.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more? | Yes | 14.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Justin Douglas win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 0.9 | 3.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? | Yes | 14.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election? | Yes | 14.1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 12% or more? | Yes | 3.5 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tennessee be the closest Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.9 | 2.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 13.4 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 35% or more? | Yes | 13.3 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Natus Vincere win BLAST Slam IX? | Yes | 4.3 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 12.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 12.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? | Yes | 0.5 | 3.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 12.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 12.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 50% or more? | Yes | 2.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 25% or more? | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 10.9 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 25%-35%? | Yes | 10.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election? | Yes | 10.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 2.1 | 2.8¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 0%-25%? | Yes | 10.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 1 | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 10 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,400,000 and 1,600,000? | Yes | 10.1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Ladd McConkey win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 10.1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 0.2 | 9.1¢ | 2.6¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Black Doves: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Yes | 9.9 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 9.7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 9.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 9.6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 12% or more? | Yes | 9.6 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 12%-15%? | Yes | 9.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 20%-30%? | Yes | 9 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $497,000 and $510,000 on December 31? | Yes | 1.5 | 14¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | No | 0.6 | 9.9¢ | 0.7¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 0.3 | 10¢ | 1.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.9 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.9 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8.1 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 50% or more? | Yes | 7.3 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 7 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 2.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 1,700,000 and 1,850,000? | Yes | 6 | 13¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election? | Yes | 6 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 6 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 0.9 | 7.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 45% or more? | Yes | 6 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 6 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 0%-30%? | Yes | 1 | 7.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Juan Carlos Baruja win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election? | Yes | 0.6 | 2.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nepal win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Don't Trust the Couple Upstairs" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 5 | 6.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 5 | 6.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bangladesh win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Cambodia win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026? | Yes | 5 | 3.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.6 | 14¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 4.2 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 0.2 | 9.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C? | Yes | 4.1 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 4 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting? | Yes | 0.1 | 20¢ | 1.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 10%-20%? | Yes | 0.8 | 7.7¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Emily Rudd be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | Yes | 2.8 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Louisiana Senate election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 2 | 9.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 0.2 | 9.1¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | Yes | 0.4 | 10¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 45%-50%? | Yes | 1.4 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? | Yes | 0.4 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.9 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will James Chumsa win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 0.9 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3% or more? | Yes | 0.9 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 0.7 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 9%-12%? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? | Yes | 0.5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 0.4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? | Yes | 0.5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Volibear be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Malphite be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will White House post 140-159 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 0.5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? | Yes | 2.6K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? | Yes | 2.6K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas? | Yes | 2.6K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026? | Yes | 3.7K | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$183 |
| Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 7+ seats? | Yes | 31.5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? | Yes | 2.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Charlie Condon win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 134.2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will LEC have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage? | Yes | 200.4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 2.6K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will TJ Rumfield win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 134.2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 695.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$77 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$36 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election? | Yes | 0.1 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Alex Bregman lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits? | Yes | 41 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nico Hoerner lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits? | Yes | 41 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Yes | 264.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Yes | 264.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 10.4K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$259 |
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 10.4K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$259 |
| Will Gideon Cordover win the next Kingborough mayoral election? | Yes | 13 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? | Yes | 126.5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1800 and $4.1899 on November 1? | Yes | 25 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Michal Vozobule be the next Mayor of Plzeň? | Yes | 45.9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho? | No | 23 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | Yes | 2.5K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 342.2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4m? | Yes | 60 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 342.2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 11m? | Yes | 40.7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 407 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$37 |
| Will Carson Hocevar win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 40 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Cole Custer win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 40 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Kyle Busch win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 40 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Daniel Suarez win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | Yes | 40 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 80 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election? | Yes | 57 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 310.1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 599.4 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$40 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.9 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on or prior to November 3, 2026? | Yes | 31 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Yes | 264.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | Yes | 264.7 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 2.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 249.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 307.8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 4, 2026? | Yes | 33.9 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? | Yes | 27.6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Liquid Win the IEM Beijing 2026? | Yes | 334.6 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will FaZe Win the IEM Beijing 2026? | Yes | 334.6 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will G2 Win the IEM Beijing 2026? | Yes | 334.6 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Tiny Computers be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? | Yes | 20 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 604.8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$86 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027? | Yes | 131.9 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 198.2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 52 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 939.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 939.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 166.9 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 939.1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will White House post 100-119 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 46.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will White House post 60-79 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 46.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will White House post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | Yes | 46.9 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 239.7 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 51 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 51 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | No | 200 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Chris Sale lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? | Yes | 0.7 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Kevin Gausman lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? | Yes | 0.7 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #1 US song this week? | Yes | 88.7 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will "Stop The Wedding! - Ashe" be the #1 song this week? | Yes | 60 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Democratic Senate odds 60-62% on November 2? | Yes | 41 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Joey Cantillo lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? | Yes | 0.7 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Robbie Ray lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? | Yes | 0.7 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? | Yes | 178.9 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$18 |
| Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | Yes | 37.1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 0.1 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 115.9 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 116 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Marshall Callaghan win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 41.7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Didier Fuentes win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 134.2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will "Nioh 3" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? | Yes | 30 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on or prior to October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.5 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 7 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 7 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | Yes | 7 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Rumble be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Bard be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Xin Zhao be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Ziggs be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Leona be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Anivia be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Yorick be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Twisted Fate be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Cho'Gath be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will LeBlanc be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Tristana be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Sejuani be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Hwei be the most played champion at Worlds 2026? | Yes | 14.3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |