Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?
ActiveLiquidity $15.3K·Volume $13.0K·Ends Jan 30, 2027
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$440 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered81¢96¢at 06:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 81d(Jan 30, 2027)Liquidity$15.3K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $440 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 81¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $440 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $42 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $402 |