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Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $275.8K·Volume $925.2K·Ends Jun 20, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No87%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:42computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
14% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
78%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
14%price14%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,617 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered12¢14¢at 07:42(54% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 221d(Jun 20, 2027)Liquidity$275.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $1,617 riding on it.

The price of 14% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 12¢; the price was 14¢ at this snapshot — roughly 54% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:42
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$25
3d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$1
3d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$5
3d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$3
3d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$1
4d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$5
4d agomilkthedipMidBuyYes14¢$28
4d agomilkthedipMidBuyYes14¢$70
4d agomilkthedipMidBuyYes14¢$70
4d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$1
4d agomilkthedipMidBuyYes14¢$73
5d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$2
5d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$3
5d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$5
5d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$3
5d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$10
6d agomilkthedipMidBuyYes14¢$39
6d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$12
6d agomilkthedipMidSellNo86¢$624
6d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$1
6d agomilkthedipMidSellNo86¢$666
6d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$2
6d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$100
6d agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$20
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$10
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$1
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$1
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$2
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$97
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$0
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes15¢$66
1w agomilkthedipMidSellYes14¢$30
1w agomilkthedipMidBuyNo86¢$430
1w agomilkthedipMidBuyNo86¢$860
1w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$84
1w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$112
1w agoP1kasoTopSellYes14¢$700
1w agomilkthedipMidBuyYes13¢$28
1w agomilkthedipMidSellYes13¢$244
1w agomilkthedipMidSellYes13¢$366
1w agomilkthedipMidBuyYes12¢$360
1w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes12¢$600
1w agomilkthedipMidBuyYes13¢$260
1w agomilkthedipMidBuyYes13¢$325
2w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes13¢$39
3w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes13¢$39
3w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes13¢$26
3w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes13¢$5
3w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes13¢$19
3w agoP1kasoTopBuyYes13¢$260