Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $1,735·Volume $17.7K·Ends Feb 5, 2027
Price now:Yes71%No29%
Smart money leans
Yes
71% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
71%price71%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$561 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$360
Smart money entered56¢71¢at 17:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 86d(Feb 5, 2027)Liquidity$1,735
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $561 riding on it.
The price of 71% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 71¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $561 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$360 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $447 |
| 1d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $447 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $849 |
| 3d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 61¢ | $408 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $29 |
| 5d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 64¢ | $500 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $21 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $65 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 67¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 73¢ | $547 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $154 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 77¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Sell | Yes | 79¢ | $1,984 |
| 1w ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $2,459 |