Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $1,405·Volume $1,856·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes79%No22%
Smart money leans
Yes
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$264 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$713
72h +$713
Smart money entered59¢79¢at 02:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$1,405
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $264 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $264 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$713, +$713 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $269 |
| 10h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $264 |