Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?
ActiveLiquidity $3,252·Volume $29.7K·Ends Aug 1, 2027
Price now:Yes48%No52%
Smart money leans
No
52% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
52%price52%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$756 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢52¢at 03:36(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 263d(Aug 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,252
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $756 riding on it.
The price of 52% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 52¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $756 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | Yes | 47¢ | $133 |
| 15h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $40 |
| 17h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $110 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Sell | No | 40¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Sell | No | 40¢ | $40 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 41¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 47¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $463 |
| 3d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $38 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 62¢ | $135 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | No | 62¢ | $135 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $224 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $31 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $287 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $263 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $56 |
| 4d ago | plumbisMid | Sell | No | 75¢ | $45 |
| 4d ago | plumbisMid | Sell | No | 73¢ | $72 |
| 4d ago | plumbisMid | Sell | No | 74¢ | $251 |
| 4d ago | plumbisMid | Buy | No | 58¢ | $291 |
| 4d ago | plumbisMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $300 |
| 6w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 7.0¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |