Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?
ActiveLiquidity $2,449·Volume $2,106·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$399
72h +$399
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:44(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy12h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$2,449
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$399, +$399 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $289 |
| 12h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $289 |
| 1w ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $5 |
| 12w ago | title1Mid | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $10 |