Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?
ActiveLiquidity $15.6K·Volume $21.0K·Ends Aug 1, 2027
Price now:Yes24%No76%
Smart money leans
No
80% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
90%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,027 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,054
Smart money entered83¢80¢at 02:39(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 263d(Aug 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,027 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,027 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,054 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $2 |
| 12h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $2 |
| 12h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $7 |
| 12h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $7 |
| 13h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 26¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $446 |
| 1d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $443 |
| 2d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $1,672 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $209 |
| 2d ago | whigTop | Buy | No | 83¢ | $1,672 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $209 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 12¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $24 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $27 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $5 |