Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 0%-3%?
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $5,546·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$457 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢90¢at 07:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $457 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $457 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $461 |
| 1w ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Sell | No | 91¢ | $407 |
| 1w ago | 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $365 |