Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
ActiveLiquidity $30.0K·Volume $50.8K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes61%No40%
Smart money leans
Yes
61% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
61%price61%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$7,882 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered58¢61¢at 07:39(25% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$30.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $7,882 riding on it.
The price of 61% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 61¢ at this snapshot — roughly 25% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,882 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $24 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $62 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $61 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $888 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $120 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $96 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $155 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $640 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $118 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $54 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $49 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $26 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $26 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $54 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $237 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $36 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $1,530 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $34 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $15 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $22 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $78 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $44 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $50 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $29 |