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stupid22

TopPolymarket
0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $808.3K
Quality score
0.441
Goodas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$10.7K
PnL 90d
+$14.4K
ROI 90d
+1%
on $1.6M deployed
Entry edge
50%
217 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$6.7M
10929 trades
Breadth 90d
545
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 13:10
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Iran leadership change by December 31?No223.5K88¢93¢$206,731+$10.2K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No213.2K94¢97¢$206,252+$6,496
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?No74.5K98¢99¢$73,718+$916
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?No64.2K98¢99¢$63,564+$710
Iran leadership change by November 30?No44.6K94¢98¢$43,533+$1,606
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?No41.3K99¢99¢$41,032+$112
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No16.3K98¢98¢$16,025+$47
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?No15.1K98¢98¢$14,841+$14
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No14.4K90¢97¢$13,986+$1,053
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No14.2K91¢97¢$13,813+$842
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No13.8K96¢97¢$13,388+$91
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes13.3K84¢91¢$12,058+$973
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes12.4K89¢93¢$11,521+$486
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes16K82¢67¢$10,800-$2,250
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No9.9K93¢93¢$9,222+$22
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No9.4K91¢93¢$8,777+$163
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes19K33¢45¢$8,597+$2,341
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No8.2K95¢96¢$7,868+$49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No6.4K96¢97¢$6,250+$58
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes10.1K29¢62¢$6,235+$3,299
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?No3.2K96¢98¢$3,133+$61
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No3.1K90¢92¢$2,879+$78
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes13.4K17¢17¢$2,330+$101
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes10.1K38¢21¢$2,174-$1,716
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes2K81¢92¢$1,850+$230
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No1.4K94¢95¢$1,339+$14
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?No1.1K91¢93¢$1,066+$24
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?No1K97¢99¢$1,030+$15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?No1.1K83¢87¢$965+$44
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No1K94¢96¢$955+$15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No841.898¢98¢$828+$1
Israeli Knesset election annulled?No522.997¢98¢$512+$8
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?No418.494¢98¢$408+$13
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Yes301.482¢87¢$262+$15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes3.3K6.0¢4.9¢$163-$38
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?No156.496¢98¢$153+$3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No14895¢97¢$144+$3
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo140.691¢97¢$136+$8
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No135.281¢94¢$127+$17
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?No123.899¢100¢$123+$0
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes124.790¢95¢$119+$6
Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election?Yes122.995¢96¢$117+$1
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?No12361¢80¢$99+$24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes50044¢18¢$88-$133
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election?Yes60.187¢96¢$58+$6
China coup attempt before 2027?No4.995¢98¢$5+$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1002.2¢1.3¢$1-$1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No0.292¢99¢$0+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No0.192¢98¢$0+$0
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes89477¢0.0¢$0-$688
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 25?Yes4.7K96¢0.0¢$0-$4,478
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1K40¢0.0¢$0-$402
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No13.5K95¢0.0¢$0-$12.8K
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes10039¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes1.1K18¢0.0¢$0-$196
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes1001.2¢0.0¢$0-$1