Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $29.2K·Volume $19.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,015 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 14:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$29.2K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,015 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,015 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 98¢ | $313 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 97¢ | $1 |