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Rex416

ProbationPolymarket
0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $27.8K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
-$15.6K
PnL 90d
-$40.6K
ROI 90d
-4%
on $923.8K deployed
Entry edge
50%
320 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$3.3M
13332 trades
Breadth 90d
1476
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:03
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?No9K84¢91¢$8,145+$587
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes3.5K98¢98¢$3,437-$6
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11?Yes2K84¢85¢$1,700+$23
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?Yes1.5K78¢96¢$1,475+$276
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 16?Yes1.4K97¢100¢$1,425+$41
Will Candidate X be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢35¢$1,221+$1,190
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?Yes1.2K91¢98¢$1,178+$85
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No1K98¢98¢$982+$1
Will FC RFS win on 2026-11-08?No839.294¢100¢$839+$50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1K81¢74¢$741-$69
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 13?Yes66283¢97¢$643+$96
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1K63¢63¢$628-$1
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes487.779¢93¢$453+$68
Will Riga FC vs. FC RFS end in a draw?Yes425.641¢99¢$424+$247
Riga FC vs. FC RFS: O/U 0.5Under82741¢49¢$405+$66
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?No272.795¢98¢$267+$6
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs M80 Boston - Game 1 WinnerM80 Boston50046¢50¢$248+$18
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?Yes25095¢98¢$246+$9
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes20398¢98¢$199-$1
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes50041¢39¢$195-$10
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢5.4¢$190+$159
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes50045¢32¢$163-$63
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes60031¢25¢$147-$42
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢3.8¢$133+$102
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?Yes215.551¢58¢$125+$14
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢3.5¢$124+$93
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢3.0¢$106+$75
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No312.532¢33¢$102+$2
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.8¢$99+$68
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3K0.9¢3.2¢$95+$69
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.5¢$89+$58
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.5¢$89+$58
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.4¢$84+$53
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.1K0.9¢2.6¢$81+$55
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.3¢$80+$49
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.2¢$78+$47
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.2¢$77+$46
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.1¢$73+$42
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.1¢$73+$42
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢2.0¢$70+$39
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No20055¢34¢$68-$42
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢1.9¢$66+$35
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢1.6¢$58+$27
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢1.5¢$54+$23
Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢1.5¢$54+$23
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢1.4¢$51+$20
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?Yes52.485¢89¢$47+$2
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?No5078¢93¢$46+$7
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.1K0.9¢1.5¢$46+$19
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢1.3¢$45+$14
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes5069¢88¢$44+$9
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No559.311¢4.5¢$25-$35
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Yes958.85.5¢2.4¢$23-$30
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes12372¢18¢$23-$66
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.6¢$23-$8
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.5¢$19-$12
Will Jake Paul be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.5¢$19-$12
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes38.3K0.1¢0.0¢$19-$19
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.8¢$19-$1
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes497.60.8¢3.8¢$19+$15
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢1.7¢$17+$10
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.5¢$17-$14
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes25021¢6.0¢$15-$37
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.4¢$14-$17
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.4¢$14-$17
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?No18.881¢69¢$13-$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢1.2¢$12+$5
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢1.2¢$12+$5
Riga FC vs. FC RFS: Riga FC 1st Half O/U 2.5Over25.434¢46¢$12+$3
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Yes50012¢2.3¢$11-$48
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢1.0¢$10+$3
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.3¢$10-$21
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?Yes6833¢14¢$10-$13
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.9¢$9+$2
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢1.5¢$9+$4
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes3.5K0.9¢0.2¢$9-$22
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.8¢$8+$1
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?No40015¢2.0¢$8-$52
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.8¢$8+$0
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?Yes10124¢7.8¢$8-$16
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?No26537¢2.7¢$7-$92
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢1.1¢$6+$2
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.3¢$6-$13
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢1.0¢$6+$2
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.5¢$5-$2
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.5¢$5-$2
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.5¢$5-$2
Will Josh Huck be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes510.9¢11¢$5+$5
Will Nicole Malliotakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes510.9¢11¢$5+$5
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.4¢$4-$3
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.4¢$4-$3
Will Dean Spanos be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes410.9¢11¢$4+$4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.7¢$4-$0
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes81.71.6¢4.9¢$4+$3
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$4-$16
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$4-$16
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$4-$16
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$4-$16
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$4-$16
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$4-$16
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.6¢$4-$1
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.3¢$3-$4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.3¢$3-$4
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.5¢$3-$1
Riga FC vs. FC RFS: O/U 2.5Over6.647¢47¢$3$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.4¢$3-$2
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes466.60.1¢0.5¢$2+$2
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$6
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$6
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$6
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$6
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$6
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.3¢$1-$3
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.3¢$1-$3
Will John Catsimatidis be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes510.9¢2.7¢$1+$1
Will Michael Psaros be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Yes510.9¢2.5¢$1+$1
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$18
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2.5K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$18
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?Yes404.3¢2.8¢$1-$1
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$7
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.1¢$1-$7
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes25.40.1¢3.9¢$1+$1
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.1¢$1-$4
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes267.510¢0.2¢$1-$26
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No0.850¢86¢$1+$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1K0.8¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Shawn Fain win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes572.60.8¢0.0¢$0-$4