Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $559·Volume $10.2K·Ends Sep 14, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
93%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,278 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered56¢95¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesended(Sep 14, 2026)Liquidity$559
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,278 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,278 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $21 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $17 |
| 4w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $20 |
| 5w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | Yes | 1.9¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.3¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $32 |
| 8w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $56 |
| 8w ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $13 |
| 11w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $92 |
| 11w ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $2,155 |
| 11w ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $6 |
| 11w ago | JAMJAMJAM4Mid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $36 |