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dromedaryy

TopPolymarket
0x6575759174ad221bba9947bc3f18750ec769b198
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $641.8K
Quality score
0.557
Goodas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$511.9K
PnL 90d
+$484.0K
ROI 90d
+36%
on $1.4M deployed
Entry edge
53%
47 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$5.4M
5839 trades
Breadth 90d
164
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:08
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes277.6K36¢98¢$273,159+$173.2K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No142.8K99¢100¢$142,755+$1,428
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No114.1K56¢76¢$86,982+$23.5K
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes698.4K8.1¢7.5¢$52,383-$4,099
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes141K17¢16¢$23,267-$1,053
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes95K11¢13¢$11,873+$1,428
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes16.3K23¢62¢$10,082+$6,313
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Yes32.1K23¢21¢$6,910-$504
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes28.4K14¢14¢$3,832-$44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes110.2K6.0¢3.2¢$3,582-$3,031
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes886K0.1¢0.3¢$3,101+$2,215
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes3.6K14¢79¢$2,843+$2,324
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?Yes29.9K11¢9.5¢$2,841-$364
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Yes66.5K6.8¢3.9¢$2,625-$1,911
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes30.4K10¢8.5¢$2,587-$456
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes63.8K5.7¢3.2¢$2,073-$1,555
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes126.6K17¢1.5¢$1,962-$19.2K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Yes40.2K8.0¢4.8¢$1,952-$1,276
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes49.8K4.4¢3.0¢$1,494-$697
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No2.3K26¢50¢$1,128+$541
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1.7K26¢48¢$828+$379
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes7.6K15¢7.2¢$550-$587
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No32.9K12¢1.4¢$477-$3,531
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes17.8K19¢2.6¢$472-$2,914
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes5.2K28¢8.2¢$425-$1,048
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes34.8K20¢1.1¢$400-$6,553
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No552.658¢61¢$334+$15
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1.7K31¢15¢$251-$263
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes12.6K3.6¢1.6¢$202-$251
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No13.9K20¢1.1¢$160-$2,614
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes2.5K17¢6.0¢$150-$275
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes5.7K50¢2.0¢$116-$2,723
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No55231¢12¢$66-$103
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?No258.228¢24¢$61-$11
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3.5K21¢1.0¢$35-$715
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes92420¢2.9¢$27-$160
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No10.4K1.0¢0.0¢$5-$100
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No9.8K2.0¢0.0¢$5-$190
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No9.433¢2.6¢$0-$3
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?No40519¢0.0¢$0-$77
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes24.5K25¢0.0¢$0-$6,040
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)Nursulton Ruziboev50K35¢0.0¢$0-$17.5K
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes2K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes61.5K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$1,553
Cardinals vs. 49ersCardinals19.9K5.0¢0.0¢$0-$996
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Yes327.67.5¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes10.1K12¢0.0¢$0-$1,217
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No1.7K1.1¢0.0¢$0-$19
Bills vs. RamsRams25K8.0¢0.0¢$0-$2,000
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes16.3K30¢0.0¢$0-$4,968
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No483.1K49¢0.0¢$0-$238.9K
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No100.5K28¢0.0¢$0-$28.4K
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes36.2K23¢0.0¢$0-$8,239
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?No693.61.0¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes13.9K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$347
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes77.1K1.9¢0.0¢$0-$1,438
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes1.8K4.9¢0.0¢$0-$90
Dolphins vs. 49ersDolphins50K11¢0.0¢$0-$5,500
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes30.6K62¢0.0¢$0-$19.0K
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Yes9.2K1.8¢0.0¢$0-$165
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes606.619¢0.0¢$0-$115
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes227.822¢0.0¢$0-$50
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No30K26¢0.0¢$0-$7,755
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Yes10.8K10¢0.0¢$0-$1,081
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September?No7.1K25¢0.0¢$0-$1,766
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?No3.3K12¢0.0¢$0-$394
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes80.3K46¢0.0¢$0-$37.2K
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT15.4K9.0¢0.0¢$0-$490
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No2.3K3.3¢0.0¢$0-$75
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No8.4K12¢0.0¢$0-$990
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No100K12¢0.0¢$0-$12.0K
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes3K1.9¢0.0¢$0-$56
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No18.3K7.9¢0.0¢$0-$1,442
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No50K14¢0.0¢$0-$7,000
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Yes3.6K3.3¢0.0¢$0-$116
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes10K60¢0.0¢$0-$5,971
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No66.9K13¢0.0¢$0-$8,716
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz7.9K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$16
Lions vs. BillsLions1.2K8.9¢0.0¢$0-$105
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming42.5K9.3¢0.0¢$0-$3,960
Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?Under2.9K40¢0.0¢$0-$1,147
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes4.9K9.0¢0.0¢$0-$444
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?No65.49.0¢0.0¢$0-$6
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes32.5K0.2¢0.0¢$0-$65
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes2.7K35¢0.0¢$0-$951
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?No16K58¢0.0¢$0-$9,312
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No2.5K1.0¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No149K35¢0.0¢$0-$51.6K
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No7.6K10.0¢0.0¢$0-$756
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes54.7K7.7¢0.0¢$0-$4,205
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?No45019¢0.0¢$0-$86
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1.4K47¢0.0¢$0-$672
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Yes9K22¢0.0¢$0-$1,969
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Yes52.8K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$53
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?No16K4.0¢0.0¢$0-$640
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No47.1K29¢0.0¢$0-$13.7K
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No64.2K27¢0.0¢$0-$17.6K
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No21.1K24¢0.0¢$0-$4,996
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No8.2K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$96
Ole Miss vs. TexasOle Miss50K10¢0.0¢$0-$5,000
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?Yes25225¢0.0¢$0-$62
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Yes1.1K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$1
Patriots vs. SeahawksPatriots1544¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?Yes39.9K0.7¢0.0¢$0-$279
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8.1K6.7¢0.0¢$0-$538
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes395.2K0.6¢0.0¢$0-$2,465
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes406.8K40¢0.0¢$0-$161.0K
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes13K2.7¢0.0¢$0-$351
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No8.8K12¢0.0¢$0-$1,052
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT170.3K38¢0.0¢$0-$26.8K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?No45.3K4.5¢0.0¢$0-$2,021
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming30K25¢0.0¢$0-$7,500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?No19.33.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Chargers vs. BillsChargers23.3K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes16K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$336
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes61.5K2.5¢0.0¢$0-$1,553