| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes | 22.6K | 48¢ | 79¢ | $17,736 | +$6,981 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 147.5K | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | $12,539 | -$4,205 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 17.6K | 33¢ | 31¢ | $5,538 | -$322 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 3K | 61¢ | 85¢ | $2,601 | +$753 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 55.8K | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | $2,511 | -$4,746 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 43.1K | 9.7¢ | 4.9¢ | $2,113 | -$2,079 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 12K | 30¢ | 18¢ | $2,100 | -$1,444 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2.2K | 83¢ | 93¢ | $2,050 | +$200 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 1K | 92¢ | 97¢ | $968 | +$43 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | No | 3.6K | 31¢ | 21¢ | $765 | -$338 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? | No | 3.1K | 20¢ | 20¢ | $602 | -$15 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | No | 6.2K | 28¢ | 9.5¢ | $586 | -$1,149 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? | Yes | 1K | 45¢ | 46¢ | $488 | +$16 |
| Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 87¢ | 97¢ | $483 | +$48 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 6K | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | $390 | -$750 |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 7K | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | $385 | -$35 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 4.1K | 17¢ | 8.5¢ | $350 | -$336 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? | Yes | 1.5K | 19¢ | 21¢ | $308 | +$23 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 276.6 | 81¢ | 93¢ | $259 | +$35 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 236 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $205 | +$10 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 200 | 50¢ | 97¢ | $194 | +$94 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 145.1 | 84¢ | 87¢ | $127 | +$5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 3K | 13¢ | 3.5¢ | $105 | -$285 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 98.8 | 56¢ | 98¢ | $97 | +$41 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 1.4K | 10.0¢ | 5.8¢ | $81 | -$57 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 98.9 | 47¢ | 61¢ | $61 | +$14 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | 9.0¢ | 3.5¢ | $45 | -$69 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 20.7 | 60¢ | 99¢ | $20 | +$8 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 219.6 | 9.0¢ | 7.0¢ | $15 | -$4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | No | 4.4K | 11¢ | 0.1¢ | $4 | -$497 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 13.2 | 14¢ | 14¢ | $2 | -$0 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | Yes | 6K | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$218 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.6K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$191 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.8K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$201 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.1K | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$283 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$211 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | Yes | 2.1K | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$208 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | Yes | 2K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$213 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 2.1K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$382 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Yes | 131.8 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$54 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 3K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,035 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | Yes | 2.4K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$935 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | Yes | 978.2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$269 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Yes | 16.8K | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$706 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31? | Yes | 56.9K | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,782 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | 13.3K | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$693 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | Yes | 6.6K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$959 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 21.3K | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,097 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Yes | 582.4 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$22 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 21.1K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,022 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | No | 16.1K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,416 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | No | 7.2K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,560 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Yes | 355 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 23.3K | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$163 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Yes | 2K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | Yes | 1.7K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$199 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Yes | 7.7K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$231 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | Yes | 155 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 9.3K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$863 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$954 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | Yes | 179 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 81.4 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | Yes | 3.4K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$809 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 13K | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,254 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$612 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 14K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,174 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | Yes | 8.3K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,128 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 3.3K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,623 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | Yes | 3.8K | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,602 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 1.8K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$324 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | Yes | 552.7 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$270 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31? | Yes | 3.1K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$188 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 197.7 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$118 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | No | 16.2K | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$375 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 12.3K | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,083 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 300 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$102 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 3.6K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$136 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 4K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,476 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 11.6K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,082 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 3.6K | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$255 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | No | 23.7K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,423 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | No | 12K | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$562 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes | 12.3K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,379 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 20K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$264 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$293 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 8.4K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$233 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | Yes | 2.8K | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$226 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 4.2K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$252 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | Yes | 2K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$420 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | 21.7K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$638 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28? | Yes | 3K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14? | Yes | 8.6K | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$317 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | Yes | 100 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | Yes | 865 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$372 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 1.1K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$352 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 21.5K | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$916 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Yes | 3K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,493 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Yes | 31.8K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$808 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10? | Yes | 19.7K | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,482 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 13? | Yes | 1K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$129 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 5.7K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$85 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 24.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,625 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | Yes | 15K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$233 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | Yes | 1.2K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$424 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30? | Yes | 1.3K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | Yes | 562.8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 432 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$44 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.3K | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$293 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.2K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$339 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Yes | 1.8K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$324 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? | Yes | 1.4K | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$86 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Yes | 100 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 23K | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$959 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30? | Yes | 5.8K | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$130 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 37.8K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$603 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 102K | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,165 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | Yes | 42.5K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$649 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | Yes | 3.4K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,059 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | Yes | 6.8K | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$294 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | Yes | 103 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | Yes | 15.6K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,670 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | Yes | 305 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.8K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$450 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$352 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.8K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$335 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | Yes | 11.8K | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$508 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | Yes | 163.9 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 341.8 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$206 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 10.9K | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$690 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 2.2K | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,650 |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | No | 1.8K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,239 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 2.9K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$116 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026? | Yes | 10K | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$640 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 47.3K | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,507 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 87.3K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,735 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | Yes | 27K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$774 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 123.2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 3K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$51 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | No | 3.3K | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,195 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 8.1K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,728 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.5K | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$330 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 2.9K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$239 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | Yes | 40.9K | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,131 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 7.9K | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$405 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026? | Yes | 380.7 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | Yes | 11.7K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,015 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | Yes | 433 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$131 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | Yes | 20K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,108 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | Yes | 299.9 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$61 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$60 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.7K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$468 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 8.3K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,626 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 2.9K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$419 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 36.2K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,549 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? | Yes | 13.9K | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$772 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026? | Yes | 2K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$420 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 12.1K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,478 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Yes | 15.8K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,603 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Yes | 5.2K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$721 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? | Yes | 12K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$475 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? | Yes | 16.3K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$647 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Yes | 4.6K | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$345 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 14.7K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,849 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 3K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$330 |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? | Yes | 120 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? | Yes | 224.3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$66 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 198.2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$30 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Yes | 17K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$251 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 30.3 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? | No | 64.3 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31? | No | 585.5 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$347 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31? | No | 2.8K | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,878 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 3.8K | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$336 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 100.3K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,602 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | No | 271.2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$127 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? | No | 291.1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$32 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 2.5K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$523 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 42.7K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14.6K |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 18.8K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,774 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$132 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Yes | 35.6K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$699 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | Yes | 245.2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | 11.2K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$181 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$124 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | 24.9K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11.2K |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | 29.9K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$395 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.9K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,726 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | 11.2K | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8,682 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | 20.4K | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14.4K |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | 10.5K | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,084 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | 4.5K | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,999 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | No | 74.8K | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$53.3K |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | No | 14.1K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,989 |
| US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026? | No | 100 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 81.1K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,426 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 7.3K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,194 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 1.5K | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$595 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | 17.8K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,890 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 47K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19.7K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | No | 4.5K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,116 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 22.4K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,929 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st? | Yes | 1K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd? | Yes | 28K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$259 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | Yes | 49.7K | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,928 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | 13.8K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,466 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 19.4K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,338 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 6.2K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$115 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 7K | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$375 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 71.3K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,189 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 5.8K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,107 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 58.4K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,919 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 20.3K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,858 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 20.8K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,752 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 178.9 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$101 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? | Yes | 7.5K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$882 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$628 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 7.6K | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$327 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 3.2K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$258 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | No | 383.9 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$110 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | No | 4.9K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$49 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | No | 32.1K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,509 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026? | Yes | 5.5K | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$251 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026? | Yes | 831 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$76 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$279 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 28.8K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,372 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 135.5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 24.8K | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$261 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 21.1K | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,826 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 11.1K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,737 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 1.1K | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$593 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23? | Yes | 200 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$42 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | Yes | 148.3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | Yes | 42.1K | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,016 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 71.9K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20.8K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | Yes | 25.1K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,182 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | Yes | 3K | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$191 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Yes | 11.8K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,219 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | No | 380.5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$168 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Yes | 58.4K | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,114 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | No | 171.1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$69 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? | No | 4.4K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,058 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? | No | 4.4K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,982 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? | No | 4.2K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,680 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 6.2K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$964 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$279 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 10.5K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,762 |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 9K | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$428 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 2.4K | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,207 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | No | 7.8K | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$753 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 700 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$154 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 10.5K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,911 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 1.9K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$241 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 6.1K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$623 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 62K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14.5K |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | 1.5K | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$76 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? | Yes | 10.4K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$83 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 16.4K | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$89 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? | Yes | 2.4K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$262 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | No | 20.8 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? | Yes | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | Yes | 7.4K | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$80 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? | Yes | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? | Yes | 15.7K | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$363 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? | Yes | 19.5K | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$85 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? | Yes | 9.9K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$82 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? | Yes | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan? | Yes | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 76.3K | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,439 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? | Yes | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country? | Yes | 10.3K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$89 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? | Yes | 8.7K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$176 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? | Yes | 1.4K | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$74 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | No | 3.2K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$448 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | No | 31.7K | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,098 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? | Yes | 41.6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | Yes | 547.3 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$257 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | No | 42.5K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,123 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | Yes | 26.2K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,110 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? | Yes | 284.3 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$247 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | Yes | 28.6K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,236 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 100 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$67 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | No | 1.8K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$548 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 22.6K | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$706 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April? | Yes | 7.4K | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$350 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Yes | 75.3K | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,431 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | Yes | 5.2K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$775 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | No | 6.2K | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$257 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 1K | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$80 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 76.5K | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6,572 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | No | 16.2K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,830 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 539.8 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | No | 2.6K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$956 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | Yes | 3.2K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$82 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | No | 10.7K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,826 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Yes | 3.9K | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$116 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | Yes | 15.8K | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$816 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | Yes | 51.4 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? | No | 4.4K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,719 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | No | 493.9 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$285 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | No | 11.2K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,173 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | Yes | 515.3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$60 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 75.5K | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7,072 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 16.8K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,870 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | 6K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$342 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 6.8K | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | 19.2K | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$499 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 3.9K | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 12.3K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$122 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 8.8K | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$207 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 1.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 19.7K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$39 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Massoud Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 10.7K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 15.7K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$28 |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 2.5K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 8.4K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$113 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 14.6K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$42 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.3K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$441 |
| Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 18.3K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$60 |
| Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 6.1K | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$41 |
| Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 26.5K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 27K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 17.3K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$42 |
| Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 10.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 5.7K | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$140 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$110 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Yes | 500 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$67 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Yes | 197 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$108 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Yes | 4.4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | Yes | 3.2K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$578 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | Yes | 11.3K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,995 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq in March? | No | 1.5K | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$130 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 7.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$869 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Yes | 12.5K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$888 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 41.1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,690 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? | Yes | 68.8 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? | No | 1.9K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$241 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? | No | 4K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,283 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9? | No | 128.6 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$30 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | 5K | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,112 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 173.3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$59 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | Yes | 3.2K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | 3.6K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$915 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | 13.9K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,202 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | 40.3K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,689 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | 4K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$333 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? | Yes | 28K | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,165 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 10.3K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$397 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | 20.9K | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9,119 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | 700 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$98 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | No | 6.6K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$720 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | Yes | 8.5K | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$381 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | Yes | 1.1K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$68 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | Yes | 8.5K | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$770 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | Yes | 8.8K | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$716 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10? | No | 5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11? | No | 1.7K | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$560 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 285.5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 193.4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.9K | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$89 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Yes | 57.8K | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,636 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 9K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$601 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | No | 1.6K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$899 |
| US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? | Yes | 12.2K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,876 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 450.7 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$136 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 1.1K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$115 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | No | 561.3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$140 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 148.5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 14K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,984 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.5K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,645 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | Yes | 16.8K | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,098 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28? | Yes | 380 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$80 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29? | Yes | 5.9K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$848 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on June 30? | Yes | 1.2K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$165 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1? | Yes | 728.9 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$98 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April? | No | 389.6 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$140 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | Yes | 11.6K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$956 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April? | Yes | 137.5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | Yes | 25.5K | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,715 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Yes | 6K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$151 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | Yes | 259.3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$33 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | No | 448 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$195 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | Yes | 3.9K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$147 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | Yes | 2K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$234 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | Yes | 13.4K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$803 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 101.1K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 87.9K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 92K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 88.1K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 81.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 77.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 60.7K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 38.3K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 31.8K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 50.6K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 43K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 40.9K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 72.1K | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 24.6K | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,265 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 24.6K | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,209 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 241.3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | No | 1.4K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$473 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | Yes | 719.8 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | 3K | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,459 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 24.3K | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,393 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 17.4K | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$398 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 28.4K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$726 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 46.4K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$844 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 60.1K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$491 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 79.1K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,434 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 65.2K | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,283 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 37.3K | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$773 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 57.9K | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$888 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 57.8K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$799 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 90.8K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$805 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 69.2K | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$747 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 96.9K | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,833 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 97.6K | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,522 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 70.1K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$722 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 65.1K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$827 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 89.3K | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$781 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 74.2K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$775 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 69.4K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$852 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 76.2K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$935 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 67.5K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$825 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 64.5K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$835 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 68.5K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$825 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 71.3K | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$801 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 110.7K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,327 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 103.1K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,258 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 67.5K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$816 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 76.5K | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$737 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 63.4K | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$866 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March? | Yes | 2.7K | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$35 |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? | Yes | 1K | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$39 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | No | 10 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30? | Yes | 10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | Yes | 2.1K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$342 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | No | 4.6K | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,528 |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | Yes | 50.4K | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,178 |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30? | Yes | 4.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$553 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | Yes | 2K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$270 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | Yes | 200 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$29 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | No | 100 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | Yes | 87.2K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,349 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | Yes | 112.2K | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,806 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | No | 16.5K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,524 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | Yes | 25.5K | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,871 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | No | 650 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$336 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | Yes | 100 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | Yes | 150 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18? | No | 500 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$205 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 8.9K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$539 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Yes | 9.8K | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$214 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | No | 3.3K | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,160 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | No | 1.6K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$720 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 1.2K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$209 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 8.5K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$992 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | 13.2K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,390 |
| Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | No | 16.6K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8,315 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | Yes | 7.2K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$961 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | Yes | 23K | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,772 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | Yes | 27.3K | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,476 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 445 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$31 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 135.9 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$51 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 29.8 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 87.5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 91 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$75 |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 36 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$21 |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | No | 3.8K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$548 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 100 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$64 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 713 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$84 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 50 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Yes | 692.6 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$135 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$14 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.7K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$720 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.7K | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$56 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$636 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | No | 8.7K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,939 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 26.9K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,862 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | 81.8K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$9,806 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | Yes | 1.3K | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$42 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20? | Yes | 100 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$32 |
| Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April? | Yes | 200 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$36 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | 28.3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$7 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 18.8K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,332 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 9.4K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,277 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 652.8 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$164 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 12.4K | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$308 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 10.6K | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$393 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 4.5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 413.1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$199 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 581.6 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$255 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 6K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$752 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 101.8K | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$804 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$87 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 57.3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 111.7 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 15-21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 692.1 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$42 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 22-28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Yes | 3K | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$123 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31? | Yes | 837.3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$234 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 130 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$50 |
| Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | Yes | 10 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | Yes | 1K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$60 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? | No | 6.5K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,192 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 25 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$75 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 2.9K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | 65.6 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$23 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 11.5K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,247 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 9.8K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,604 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 536.8 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$99 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Yes | 50.8 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 5K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$975 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15? | Yes | 335.8 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$32 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | No | 972.3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$575 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 900 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$121 |
| Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 790 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$20 |
| Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 1K | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$87 |
| Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30? | Yes | 9.6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | Yes | 550 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$55 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 27.7K | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,365 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 19.7K | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,412 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 16.4K | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,451 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 409.2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$96 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30? | Yes | 8.8 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30? | Yes | 3.4K | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$57 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28? | Down | 100 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30? | Yes | 500 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | No | 10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$8 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 5.8K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$222 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 10.1K | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$829 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | No | 18.9K | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$829 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | No | 14 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | Yes | 6.9K | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$43 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | Yes | 16.1K | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$200 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 131 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$38 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20? | No | 3.3K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$583 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Yes | 2.9K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$329 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | No | 65.6K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$10.4K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | No | 11.5K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$5,456 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | No | 2.2K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$482 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | No | 42.9K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,053 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | No | 2.4K | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$80 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | No | 7.5K | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$284 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | No | 3.1K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$122 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | No | 3K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$917 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | No | 5.7K | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$547 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | No | 300 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$126 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 40.8K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,794 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 5.6K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$905 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | No | 14K | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$414 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 23.3K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,922 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 26.4K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$3,803 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 67K | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$6,197 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 626.3 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$107 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | Yes | 1K | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 69.7K | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,868 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 11.5K | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$685 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 113 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes | 3.6K | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$144 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? | Yes | 3.5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | Yes | 600 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$77 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | Yes | 35.7K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,271 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | Yes | 25.7K | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,439 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? | Yes | 1.1K | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$111 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 9K | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1,209 |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes | 4K | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2,396 |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? | Yes | 11K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4,265 |