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DirkDiggler67

ProbationPolymarket
0xaab9f5e600a5dd88fe3a6f93313b180f6220a08d
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $35.1K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$6,051
PnL 90d
+$1,562
ROI 90d
+3%
on $55.1K deployed
Entry edge
57%
21 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$207.4K
1574 trades
Breadth 90d
106
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:02
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes29.7K26¢33¢$9,945+$2,161
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?No3.5K62¢94¢$3,303+$1,130
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes16.5K50¢19¢$3,061-$5,199
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes2.9K74¢88¢$2,576+$421
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No2.1K86¢89¢$1,900+$74
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No1.6K82¢97¢$1,594+$245
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?No3.4K41¢41¢$1,376-$10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Yes7K27¢19¢$1,300-$626
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No1.2K30¢81¢$932+$592
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?No954.350¢93¢$883+$406
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes1.4K59¢60¢$826+$23
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?No1K63¢77¢$772+$143
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No717.482¢86¢$613+$23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?No1.5K33¢38¢$549+$68
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No55575¢94¢$523+$106
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No526.363¢94¢$495+$162
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1.4K23¢34¢$483+$160
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?Yes57378¢82¢$470+$22
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?No422.199¢100¢$421+$2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Yes1.1K33¢34¢$381+$3
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Yes3.1K39¢11¢$359-$858
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1.8K48¢17¢$311-$550
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No55560¢45¢$247-$86
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No214.555¢77¢$165+$47
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?No133.876¢98¢$131+$29
Will Candidate X be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢49¢$130+$127
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes222.654¢55¢$121+$1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2.3K4.0¢4.6¢$108+$16
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes527.928¢18¢$93-$58
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?No93.472¢91¢$85+$17
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes297.135¢22¢$67-$36
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?No66.551¢84¢$56+$22
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No59.966¢92¢$55+$15
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes1.7K11¢3.2¢$54-$124
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?No44.360¢92¢$41+$14
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?No4158¢93¢$38+$14
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?No38.449¢91¢$35+$16
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?No36.161¢85¢$31+$9
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?Yes1.8K7.7¢1.6¢$30-$113
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes1.1K33¢2.3¢$26-$340
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?No19.244¢92¢$18+$9
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No17.281¢97¢$17+$3
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?No55533¢2.1¢$12-$169
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢3.8¢$10+$7
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢3.6¢$10+$7
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢3.5¢$9+$7
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢3.0¢$8+$5
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.9¢$8+$5
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.6¢$7+$4
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.5¢$7+$4
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.5¢$7+$4
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.4¢$6+$4
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.3¢$6+$3
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.3¢$6+$3
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.2¢$6+$3
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.1¢$6+$3
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.1¢$6+$3
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢2.0¢$5+$3
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.9¢$5+$2
Will Dana W. White be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.7¢$4+$2
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.7¢$4+$2
Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.6¢$4+$1
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.6¢$4+$1
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.5¢$4+$1
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢1.3¢$3+$1
Will Dana F. White Jr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.9¢$2-$0
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.7¢$2-$1
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.5¢$1-$1
Will Jake Paul be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.5¢$1-$1
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.5¢$1-$1
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.4¢$1-$2
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.4¢$1-$2
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.3¢$1-$2
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes2651.0¢0.3¢$1-$2
Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes34.23.1¢1.4¢$0-$1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No6.928¢1.8¢$0-$2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No0.150¢82¢$0+$0