Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $23.8K·Volume $23.4K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes60%No40%
Smart money leans
Yes
60% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
60%price60%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,644 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered61¢60¢at 07:35(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$23.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,644 riding on it.
The price of 60% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 61¢; the price was 60¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,644 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $1,536 |
| 3d ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $59 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 49¢ | $66 |
| 11w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 36¢ | $36 |