Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $14.5K·Volume $22.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes18%No82%
Smart money leans
No
76% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
76%price76%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,639 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,036
72h +$1,036
Smart money entered76¢76¢at 07:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$14.5K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,639 riding on it.
The price of 76% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 76¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,639 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,036, +$1,036 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:16