Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $3,850·Volume $40.1K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes60%No40%
Smart money leans
Yes
60% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
71%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
60%price60%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$484 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$240
Smart money entered48¢60¢at 07:40(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,850
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "Yes", with $484 riding on it.
The price of 60% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 60¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $484 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$240 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 51¢ | $102 |
| 1d ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 51¢ | $102 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $139 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $276 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 51¢ | $434 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $11 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $13 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $76 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $5 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $29 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $101 |
| 3w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $14 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 46¢ | $161 |
| 6w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $38 |
| 6w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $313 |
| 6w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | MeckyMid | Sell | No | 41¢ | $68 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $86 |
| 7w ago | MeckyMid | Sell | No | 50¢ | $28 |
| 7w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $600 |
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $183 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | MeckyMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $145 |
| 7w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $2 |