Jerome Powell federally charged by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $3,333·Volume $3,209·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$423 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 07:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$3,333
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $423 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $423 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:24
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $20 |
| 3w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $39 |
| 4w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $57 |
| 5w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $6 |
| 5w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $96 |
| 6w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $3 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $8 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $3 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $4 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $2 |
| 8w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $2 |
| 9w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $45 |
| 9w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $62 |
| 11w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $42 |
| 11w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $18 |
| 11w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | AlegrandebigMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $50 |