Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $26.5K·Volume $13.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes59%No41%
Smart money leans
No
41% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
52%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price41%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$2,362 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$415
Smart money entered44¢41¢at 06:52(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$26.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $2,362 riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 44¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$415 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $338 |
| 2d ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $532 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 42¢ | $215 |
| 5d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $303 |
| 5d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $813 |
| 6d ago | yen4uMid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $150 |
| 1w ago | yen4uMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | yen4uMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $69 |
| 1w ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Mid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $70 |
| 3w ago | yen4uMid | Buy | No | 54¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | yen4uMid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $101 |