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Liquidifier

ProbationPolymarket
0x48185887c8dc95de60ee89722f1d0ee7894cbf0b
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $130.0K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
-$5,579
PnL 90d
-$5,509
ROI 90d
-17%
on $33.0K deployed
Entry edge
51%
24 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$477.5K
3675 trades
Breadth 90d
308
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:28
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No55.4K92¢98¢$54,148+$3,006
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No30.7K80¢93¢$28,443+$3,861
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes6.2K39¢88¢$5,413+$2,990
US recession by end of 2026?No2.7K93¢96¢$2,585+$86
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No2.2K87¢98¢$2,180+$229
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?No3.7K4.0¢55¢$2,014+$1,866
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?No1.8K73¢85¢$1,533+$205
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$602.5K37¢49¢$1,228+$292
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1.2K33¢100¢$1,168+$787
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1.1K67¢96¢$1,068+$325
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1K4.1¢100¢$1,005+$963
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2K9.1¢48¢$954+$772
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No937.269¢97¢$905+$259
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No970.276¢87¢$841+$105
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes851.653¢97¢$829+$379
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes946.825¢76¢$724+$488
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes1.2K18¢52¢$610+$395
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢19¢$604+$582
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?No668.674¢88¢$592+$97
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4.1K5.4¢14¢$575+$356
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?Yes1.2K38¢47¢$554+$106
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?No970.438¢56¢$543+$173
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2027?No680.675¢78¢$531+$19
Will Solana hit $300 by June 30, 2027?No569.961¢92¢$524+$177
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes522.39.0¢100¢$522+$475
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?No1.4K19¢34¢$488+$217
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?No488.782¢98¢$481+$79
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?No1.4K26¢32¢$468+$90
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?Yes1K25¢44¢$452+$194
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No454.161¢98¢$443+$166
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes50025¢88¢$438+$313
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be less than $2.00T at the end of 2026?No43491¢98¢$425+$30
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes11.2K1.1¢3.7¢$421+$296
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by June 30, 2027?No574.464¢73¢$419+$50
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?No51523¢81¢$417+$301
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?No417.787¢97¢$404+$42
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Yes795.939¢49¢$390+$78
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?No1.1K21¢34¢$383+$148
Will AVAX reach $16 by December 31, 2026?No405.168¢92¢$375+$100
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes838.334¢44¢$369+$84
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by March 31, 2027?No522.674¢71¢$368-$17
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?No617.256¢58¢$361+$17
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026?Yes937.639¢38¢$360-$5
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4.6K71¢7.8¢$358-$2,894
Will Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027?No433.773¢82¢$358+$40
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2027?No632.935¢56¢$358+$134
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No432.218¢82¢$354+$278
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Yes1.6K30¢21¢$341-$152
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?No36061¢91¢$326+$107
Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?No359.443¢90¢$322+$166
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?No673.637¢47¢$320+$72
Will Solana hit $150 by March 31, 2027?No363.157¢87¢$318+$112
Trump out as President before 2027?No320.783¢98¢$313+$45
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Yes485.448¢62¢$303+$72
Will Solana hit $300 by September 30, 2027?No327.966¢86¢$280+$62
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes357.410¢73¢$260+$223
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No259.892¢98¢$255+$16
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0026 by December 31, 2026?Yes739.816¢34¢$252+$136
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Yes815.321¢28¢$232+$58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?No302.670¢77¢$232+$18
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?No232.780¢94¢$218+$30
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Yes80912¢26¢$211+$113
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?No265.356¢79¢$208+$59
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No216.316¢96¢$207+$173
Will XRP hit $2 by March 31, 2027?No243.958¢85¢$206+$64
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?No505.928¢40¢$205+$64
Will Ethereum hit $3k by June 30, 2027?No343.633¢59¢$203+$91
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?No335.765¢58¢$195-$23
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?Yes421.648¢45¢$190-$14
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No19578¢96¢$188+$37
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by September 30, 2027?No323.557¢58¢$188+$4
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?No17369¢93¢$160+$41
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?No17959¢88¢$158+$53
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Yes500.234¢30¢$150-$18
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢3.5¢$147+$116
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No20050¢73¢$146+$46
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?No20049¢73¢$145+$47
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢1.4¢$135+$65
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?No13987¢96¢$133+$12
Will edgeX reach $1.20 before 2027?No13383¢93¢$124+$13
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes6K61¢1.9¢$118-$3,587
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?Yes46714¢24¢$113+$46
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes2K69¢5.3¢$108-$1,272
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No11086¢97¢$107+$12
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No11168¢96¢$106+$31
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?No11294¢93¢$105-$0
Will Solana hit $150 by June 30, 2027?No147.445¢69¢$101+$34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes11155¢89¢$99+$38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes20237¢47¢$95+$19
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes500.715¢19¢$93+$19
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.8K0.8¢0.8¢$92+$5
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No802.769¢11¢$87-$467
Will Solana hit $150 by September 30, 2027?No12040¢69¢$83+$34
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes1.6K13¢5.2¢$83-$116
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No8132¢91¢$74+$48
Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?No78.179¢94¢$74+$12
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?No74.675¢99¢$74+$18
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes357.123¢20¢$70-$12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No1.1K41¢6.0¢$69-$393
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2026?No7277¢82¢$59+$3
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes253.632¢22¢$56-$26
Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027?No6574¢84¢$55+$7
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No6.3K7.5¢0.8¢$54-$417
Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?No57.884¢92¢$53+$5
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?No59.428¢88¢$53+$36
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No57.582¢91¢$52+$5
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes1K12¢4.6¢$46-$76
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No12085¢38¢$46-$56
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7.9K0.9¢0.5¢$44-$31
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢1.2¢$40+$18
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.4K1.6¢0.1¢$40-$387
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?No39.892¢95¢$38+$1
Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes4896.3¢7.7¢$38+$7
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes125.129¢28¢$35-$1
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.4¢$35-$35
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes11015¢32¢$35+$18
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?No4065¢85¢$34+$8
US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes2K10¢1.6¢$34-$171
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in November?Yes38610¢8.0¢$31-$8
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?No4088¢77¢$31-$4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.9¢$30+$8
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?Yes399.98.1¢7.5¢$30-$2
Will Chainlink dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No4050¢74¢$29+$9
Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?No38.448¢75¢$29+$10
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?Yes40720¢6.5¢$26-$55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $54 in November?No97.67.2¢26¢$25+$18
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.3¢$25-$45
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1.5K21¢1.7¢$25-$283
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0070 by December 31, 2026?No3868¢64¢$24-$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.7¢$24+$2
Will edgeX reach $1.40 before 2027?No2582¢96¢$24+$3
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢0.5¢$23-$8
Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes17421¢13¢$23-$13
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15K1.3¢0.1¢$23-$176
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes140.113¢16¢$22+$5
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2.5K0.7¢0.8¢$21+$4
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No33.112¢63¢$21+$17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $65 by December 31, 2026?No46.741¢41¢$19+$0
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes307.713¢6.1¢$19-$22
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.5¢$18-$5
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.5¢$18-$5
Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?Yes2048.1¢8.6¢$18+$1
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5K0.7¢0.3¢$18-$18
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of November 2026?Yes423.535¢4.0¢$17-$131
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes318.531¢5.2¢$17-$81
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes1.1K7.0¢1.4¢$16-$63
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes16638¢9.5¢$16-$47
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes340.712¢4.5¢$15-$27
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10K2.0¢0.1¢$15-$188
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$15-$55
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$15-$55
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$15-$55
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$15-$55
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$15-$55
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.4¢$14-$8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes288.439¢4.8¢$14-$98
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes6027¢23¢$14-$2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes344.515¢4.0¢$14-$39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes40339¢3.4¢$14-$143
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes158.919¢8.5¢$14-$17
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes20031¢6.5¢$13-$49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November?Yes46416¢2.8¢$13-$61
Will Meta’s market capitalization be less than $1.25T at the end of December 2026?No1380¢96¢$12+$2
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?Yes2022¢62¢$12+$8
Will edgeX reach $0.80 before 2027?No2074¢57¢$11-$3
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes615.50.8¢1.8¢$11+$6
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Yes50047¢2.2¢$11-$225
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be at least $6.50T at the end of 2026?Yes354.414¢3.0¢$11-$40
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?Yes128.739¢8.3¢$11-$40
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢0.2¢$10-$20
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢0.2¢$10-$20
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.1K0.7¢0.1¢$10-$61
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes4076¢24¢$10-$21
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes364.58.0¢2.6¢$9-$20
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes640.38.0¢1.4¢$9-$42
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes706.917¢1.3¢$9-$110
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes375.827¢2.2¢$8-$91
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes223.810¢3.6¢$8-$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?Yes18911¢3.9¢$7-$13
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes272.617¢2.7¢$7-$40
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?Yes2229.0¢3.0¢$7-$13
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢0.1¢$6-$25
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢0.1¢$6-$25
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes108.737¢5.0¢$5-$35
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes55.534¢9.5¢$5-$13
Will Shawn Fain win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$65
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$65
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$65
Will Scott Colom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$65
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$65
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$65
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No5.180¢97¢$5+$1
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No576¢97¢$5+$1
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$18
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$18
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.1¢$5-$18
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes10043¢4.8¢$5-$38
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No573¢90¢$5+$1
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes2107.2¢1.7¢$4-$12
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?Yes6.9K47¢0.0¢$3-$3,289
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be less than $2.00T at the end of 2026?Yes161.13.2¢2.0¢$3-$2
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.1¢$3-$19
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No3.187¢98¢$3+$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes151.611¢1.7¢$3-$14
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes4038¢5.5¢$2-$13
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4.1K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$29
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will James Fishback win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3.2K0.7¢0.0¢$2-$21
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?Yes84.66.0¢1.5¢$1-$4
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2.4K12¢0.0¢$1-$275
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes2043¢4.1¢$1-$8
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of November 2026?Yes2911¢1.8¢$1-$3
W35 Weston, FL: Juliette Nask vs Carolina GomezJuliette Nask197¢47¢$0-$1
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes18.818¢1.7¢$0-$3
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?Yes123¢31¢$0+$0
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Yes65.41.1¢0.4¢$0-$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No18056¢0.0¢$0-$101
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes131.22.8¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes3022¢0.1¢$0-$7
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes804.7¢0.1¢$0-$4
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes0.34.0¢2.7¢$0-$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes1.23.0¢0.6¢$0-$0
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 17?Up17046¢0.0¢$0-$78
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $155-$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Yes466.84.0¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes30022¢0.0¢$0-$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp1.1K19¢0.0¢$0-$208
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Yes433.30.3¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes10042¢0.0¢$0-$42
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?Yes24.138¢0.0¢$0-$9
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?No38.210¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Yes85.31.8¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?Yes292.210¢0.0¢$0-$30
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No6.5K5.5¢0.0¢$0-$353
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes11.6K43¢0.0¢$0-$4,941
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes3K18¢0.0¢$0-$536
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?No882.12.8¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?No33344¢0.0¢$0-$147
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETUp179.864¢0.0¢$0-$114
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over2.3K49¢0.0¢$0-$1,103
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes75027¢0.0¢$0-$202
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group StageSaint Sinners161.738¢0.0¢$0-$61
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 22?Up26130¢0.0¢$0-$78
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes49.73.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes5077¢0.0¢$0-$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETDown2223.5¢0.0¢$0-$8
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes511.19.0¢0.0¢$0-$46
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No99.361¢0.0¢$0-$61
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp4858.0¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes161.90.5¢0.0¢$0-$1
F1: Will Max Verstappen Announce Move to New Team on July 6, 2026?Yes403.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes100K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$125
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?No9448.0¢0.0¢$0-$76
Charlottesville: Nicolas Mejia vs Murphy CassoneNicolas Mejia802.510¢0.0¢$0-$80
Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre MullerYaroslav Demin4.6K9.7¢0.0¢$0-$447
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?Yes191.27.0¢0.0¢$0-$13
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo63762¢0.0¢$0-$395
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?No1K33¢0.0¢$0-$330
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?Yes450.41.6¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes60.3K13¢0.0¢$0-$7,540
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 4?Down38.362¢0.0¢$0-$24
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day?Yes164.40.6¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?Yes2341.0¢0.0¢$0-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown1.7K6.1¢0.0¢$0-$107
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Yes64.321¢0.0¢$0-$14
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes1.1K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?No1552.7¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes999.918¢0.0¢$0-$180
Will Bhutan win on 2026-06-04?Yes1.4K4.5¢0.0¢$0-$65
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Yes74.41.3¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes2K11¢0.0¢$0-$225
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 1?Down110.460¢0.0¢$0-$66
Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?Yes11.815¢0.0¢$0-$2
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?No33.521¢0.0¢$0-$7
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?Yes1.5K2.1¢0.0¢$0-$32
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes3.5K70¢0.0¢$0-$2,478
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp4K59¢0.0¢$0-$2,357
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No467.121¢0.0¢$0-$97
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes11.18.0¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $137.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes4446¢0.0¢$0-$20
Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?No58.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will s1mple retire by June 30?Yes520.49.8¢0.0¢$0-$51
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes56.8K13¢0.0¢$0-$7,096
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes1416¢0.0¢$0-$2
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?No6.879¢0.0¢$0-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp28854¢0.0¢$0-$154
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No239.120¢0.0¢$0-$48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes14.9K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$15
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CXLG Gaming1.9K27¢0.0¢$0-$505
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No135.493¢0.0¢$0-$126
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?Yes1002.1¢0.0¢$0-$2
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17?Up4049¢0.0¢$0-$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage9z50169¢0.0¢$0-$346
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?Yes2.6K1.9¢0.0¢$0-$48
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?No6344¢0.0¢$0-$28
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Yes3018¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes276.111¢0.0¢$0-$29
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 15?Down270.625¢0.0¢$0-$68
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes21.842¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes10.10.3¢0.0¢$0-$0
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-Inmaybe175.132¢0.0¢$0-$56
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?No1118.0¢0.0¢$0-$9
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes7.5K1.2¢0.0¢$0-$89
Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?No103.224¢0.0¢$0-$25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?Yes55.5K13¢0.0¢$0-$6,938
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 1?Up50048¢0.0¢$0-$240
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEnjoy29.545¢0.0¢$0-$13
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11?Down2030¢0.0¢$0-$6
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 21?Down266.814¢0.0¢$0-$37
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on October 14?Yes2083¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in October?No4031¢0.0¢$0-$12
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerLeo Team2.7K13¢0.0¢$0-$357
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 11?Down118.550¢0.0¢$0-$59
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?Yes1.6K2.4¢0.0¢$0-$37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 14?Yes974.34.2¢0.0¢$0-$41
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in October?Yes3074¢0.0¢$0-$22
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes8481.3¢0.0¢$0-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp2K66¢0.0¢$0-$1,340
Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular SeasonContra91.912¢0.0¢$0-$11
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver2.5K37¢0.0¢$0-$927
Bucknell vs. PittsburghBucknell109.1K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$119
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes275.86.0¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 15?Yes40.727¢0.0¢$0-$11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes25K5.7¢0.0¢$0-$1,424
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?Down12043¢0.0¢$0-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETDown79530¢0.0¢$0-$238
Game Spread: Jurij Rodionov (-0.5) vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (+0.5)Jurij Rodionov575¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes1.2K46¢0.0¢$0-$572
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes88.614¢0.0¢$0-$12
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 4 Anchors and Ilmeria (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffs4 Anchors and Ilmeria1.83.8¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes327.57.5¢0.0¢$0-$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown912.633¢0.0¢$0-$304
Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?Yes411.50.8¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $172 in October?No489.122¢0.0¢$0-$108
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayDown43444¢0.0¢$0-$191
England vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder707.167¢0.0¢$0-$474
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes100K0.1¢0.0¢$0-$125
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?No59.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes80.210¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will the Republican Party win the IL-07 House seat?Yes4165.4¢0.0¢$0-$23
Will Ant Middleton not summit Everest by June 30?Yes9.913¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes193.18.6¢0.0¢$0-$17
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes52.8K13¢0.0¢$0-$6,596
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes2993.2¢0.0¢$0-$10
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerMODUS371.835¢0.0¢$0-$130
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?Down12.5K15¢0.0¢$0-$1,896
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes22386¢0.0¢$0-$192
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BetBoom Team3K38¢0.0¢$0-$1,140
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $140-$145 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?Yes1.4K12¢0.0¢$0-$174
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes1.9K6.0¢0.0¢$0-$112
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No1.320¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No12372¢0.0¢$0-$89
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes33324¢0.0¢$0-$80
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes2.54.9¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 19 2026?Yes788.569¢0.0¢$0-$546
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No1.1K52¢0.0¢$0-$551
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 18?Down20428¢0.0¢$0-$57
Will Xavi be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes19.70.4¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 in October?Yes634.143¢0.0¢$0-$273
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on June 8?Yes54.13.4¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1.9K15¢0.0¢$0-$290
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of November 2 2026?No81983¢0.0¢$0-$681
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 16?Up103.337¢0.0¢$0-$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETDown75.59.0¢0.0¢$0-$7
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 24?Up10157¢0.0¢$0-$58
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?No4.916¢0.0¢$0-$1
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo1.5K71¢0.0¢$0-$1,065
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?Down214.621¢0.0¢$0-$44
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?Down544¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?Yes147.82.4¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes555.1¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?No79.428¢0.0¢$0-$22
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?Down5550.1¢0.0¢$0-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp2.5K60¢0.0¢$0-$1,470
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETDown391.832¢0.0¢$0-$125
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 17?Up27255¢0.0¢$0-$150
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes26863¢0.0¢$0-$169
Solana Up or Down on July 18?Down543¢0.0¢$0-$2
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes15018¢0.0¢$0-$27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No552.77.0¢0.0¢$0-$39
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in October?Yes82248¢0.0¢$0-$396
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?No2038¢0.0¢$0-$8
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 in October?No94.75.0¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes2.1K12¢0.0¢$0-$250
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No0.748¢0.0¢$0-$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes281.137¢0.0¢$0-$105
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?Up291.612¢0.0¢$0-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown8935¢0.0¢$0-$31
XRP Up or Down on June 23?Up17.117¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in October?No1K31¢0.0¢$0-$323
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on June 8?Yes10.4K14¢0.0¢$0-$1,468
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 8?Down950¢0.0¢$0-$5
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes13.932¢0.0¢$0-$4
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia30026¢0.0¢$0-$78
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da SilvaEmilio Camacho1K55¢0.0¢$0-$551
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CPartizan Sangal252.113¢0.0¢$0-$33
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30? Yes1.12.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown223.346¢0.0¢$0-$102
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 22?Up10034¢0.0¢$0-$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp82736¢0.0¢$0-$295
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?Yes55.8K13¢0.0¢$0-$6,979
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?No2.2K13¢0.0¢$0-$289
Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?Yes26.93.2¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes239.541¢0.0¢$0-$99
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward WinterEdward Winter4.4K16¢0.0¢$0-$722
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreNo3.5K52¢0.0¢$0-$1,820
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 19 2026?Yes585.156¢0.0¢$0-$326
Will T1 make a roster change before July?Yes257.85.0¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes637.93.0¢0.0¢$0-$19
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?Yes5160¢0.0¢$0-$31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?Yes206.922¢0.0¢$0-$46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?No50052¢0.0¢$0-$260
Fed rate hike in 2026?No1K67¢0.0¢$0-$686
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown1.195¢0.0¢$0-$1
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 in November?No60.96.7¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + AUR?Yes202.0¢0.0¢$0-$0
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 9?Up754¢0.0¢$0-$4
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?Yes28819¢0.0¢$0-$55
Will Trump say "China" this week?No1002.5¢0.0¢$0-$3
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes166.817¢0.0¢$0-$29
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $164 in October?No273.363¢0.0¢$0-$171
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 23?Down20041¢0.0¢$0-$81
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-04?No2.1K16¢0.0¢$0-$334