| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 28.7K | 93¢ | 98¢ | $28,235 | +$1,490 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 27.6K | 89¢ | 97¢ | $26,866 | +$2,389 |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 8.5K | 87¢ | 92¢ | $7,881 | +$497 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | No | 5.7K | 85¢ | 95¢ | $5,409 | +$550 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | No | 5K | 92¢ | 98¢ | $4,900 | +$306 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 4.5K | 59¢ | 84¢ | $3,810 | +$1,145 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 5K | 71¢ | 72¢ | $3,592 | +$92 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.4K | 91¢ | 98¢ | $3,293 | +$227 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 6K | 75¢ | 54¢ | $3,226 | -$1,279 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | 95¢ | 97¢ | $2,904 | +$66 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? | No | 2.9K | 93¢ | 99¢ | $2,869 | +$183 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | 82¢ | 94¢ | $2,816 | +$387 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? | No | 2.7K | 91¢ | 98¢ | $2,622 | +$190 |
| Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.3K | 94¢ | 97¢ | $2,218 | +$67 |
| Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.1K | 99¢ | 98¢ | $2,096 | -$10 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.9K | 98¢ | 98¢ | $1,904 | +$1 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.7K | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1,675 | +$170 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.4K | 90¢ | 93¢ | $1,332 | +$43 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? | Yes | 1.6K | 55¢ | 57¢ | $916 | +$40 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 800 | 85¢ | 89¢ | $712 | +$32 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 463.1 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $455 | +$16 |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | No | 455 | 99¢ | 99¢ | $452 | +$2 |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $276 | +$27 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 265 | 83¢ | 94¢ | $250 | +$30 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2K | 10¢ | 9.4¢ | $191 | -$11 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | 21¢ | 18¢ | $180 | -$28 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | No | 188.1 | 91¢ | 93¢ | $175 | +$4 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 200 | 61¢ | 66¢ | $133 | +$10 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 671.5 | 40¢ | 16¢ | $111 | -$158 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21? | No | 83.5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $81 | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 787.1 | 60¢ | 6.5¢ | $51 | -$424 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | Yes | 300 | 23¢ | 17¢ | $51 | -$19 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 22¢ | 22¢ | $44 | -$0 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1K | 65¢ | 1.6¢ | $16 | -$639 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 852.9 | 16¢ | 1.5¢ | $13 | -$126 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.2K | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | $11 | -$11 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.4K | 1.9¢ | 0.2¢ | $6 | -$40 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | Yes | 71.4 | 30¢ | 1.8¢ | $1 | -$20 |
| Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31? | Yes | 255.5 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$237 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$65 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? | Yes | 200 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$17 |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | Yes | 300 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$65 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$72 |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? | Yes | 771 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | No | 200 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$26 |
| Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | Yes | 1.1K | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$58 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31? | Yes | 1.3K | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$64 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 300 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$75 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.8 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$104 |
| Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30? | Yes | 136.5 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$102 |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | Yes | 50 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$36 |
| Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027? | Yes | 825.8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$139 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | Yes | 200 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$75 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 600 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 200 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$32 |
| Will Trump say "Susie" or "Wiles" during "60 Minutes" extended interview? | Yes | 120 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | Yes | 481.6 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$25 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | 1K | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$51 |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? | No | 432.1 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$238 |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026? | No | 327.9 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$49 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 905.5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$229 |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31? | Yes | 200 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$66 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 176.8 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$112 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 176 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$111 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo? | Yes | 108.9 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$27 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | Yes | 13 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$4 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | Yes | 22 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 1.4K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$331 |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner | United States | 41.3 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$24 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 2.2K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$270 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | No | 1.9K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$512 |
| Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31? | Yes | 66.6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 22, 2026? | No | 179.1 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$11 |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? | No | 20 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$12 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 759.7 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$486 |