| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 12.7K | 50¢ | 87¢ | $11,068 | +$4,718 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 3.7K | 60¢ | 92¢ | $3,408 | +$1,197 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes | 3.7K | 77¢ | 72¢ | $2,676 | -$193 |
| Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader? | Yes | 2.4K | 91¢ | 97¢ | $2,372 | +$152 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | Yes | 2.1K | 50¢ | 98¢ | $2,023 | +$996 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 2.2K | 86¢ | 85¢ | $1,868 | -$29 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12.7K | 50¢ | 13¢ | $1,632 | -$4,718 |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? | No | 1.8K | 71¢ | 77¢ | $1,356 | +$93 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 1.4K | 57¢ | 92¢ | $1,337 | +$515 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 21? | Yes | 1.3K | 84¢ | 98¢ | $1,308 | +$181 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | No | 1.2K | 80¢ | 94¢ | $1,162 | +$172 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | Yes | 1.2K | 77¢ | 97¢ | $1,154 | +$236 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | Yes | 1.7K | 33¢ | 64¢ | $1,061 | +$516 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 913.1 | 82¢ | 98¢ | $899 | +$149 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? | No | 878.5 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $877 | +$80 |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | 5.4¢ | 55¢ | $820 | +$740 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 1.6K | 75¢ | 49¢ | $765 | -$403 |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | No | 1.1K | 48¢ | 66¢ | $755 | +$201 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 763.7 | 79¢ | 98¢ | $752 | +$149 |
| Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? | Yes | 741.1 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $656 | +$19 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher? | Yes | 1.2K | 25¢ | 52¢ | $635 | +$324 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 1.9K | 64¢ | 33¢ | $609 | -$598 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas be between 900,000 and 1,000,000? | No | 598.3 | 85¢ | 100¢ | $596 | +$87 |
| Will Eric Trump join Trump at APEC in China? | No | 593.4 | 76¢ | 94¢ | $558 | +$109 |
| Will Jared Kushner join Trump at APEC in China? | No | 699.9 | 50¢ | 79¢ | $553 | +$200 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T? | No | 532.9 | 78¢ | 98¢ | $522 | +$106 |
| Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? | Yes | 545 | 79¢ | 95¢ | $518 | +$87 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more? | No | 518.3 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $510 | +$68 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? | No | 479.4 | 83¢ | 100¢ | $478 | +$81 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? | No | 548.2 | 83¢ | 86¢ | $472 | +$15 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO price be less than $66.00? | No | 530 | 93¢ | 85¢ | $448 | -$45 |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027? | Yes | 470.3 | 63¢ | 94¢ | $440 | +$146 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO price be between $66.00 and $69.99? | No | 500 | 95¢ | 86¢ | $428 | -$48 |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 418.1 | 45¢ | 98¢ | $411 | +$224 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 431.1 | 66¢ | 88¢ | $377 | +$93 |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026? | Yes | 568.2 | 69¢ | 66¢ | $373 | -$17 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? | No | 660.1 | 60¢ | 55¢ | $362 | -$35 |
| Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 408 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $361 | +$36 |
| Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? | No | 515.2 | 52¢ | 67¢ | $348 | +$81 |
| Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? | No | 384.5 | 75¢ | 89¢ | $340 | +$50 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? | Yes | 1.1K | 14¢ | 30¢ | $333 | +$183 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 319.4 | 48¢ | 90¢ | $287 | +$133 |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027? | No | 762.7 | 22¢ | 36¢ | $278 | +$114 |
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 321.7 | 64¢ | 86¢ | $278 | +$74 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by November 30? | Yes | 562.4 | 39¢ | 48¢ | $267 | +$49 |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? | No | 356.2 | 85¢ | 74¢ | $265 | -$37 |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? | No | 442.9 | 59¢ | 59¢ | $261 | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026? | Yes | 273.3 | 25¢ | 94¢ | $256 | +$189 |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on November 26, 2026? | No | 239.8 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $239 | +$16 |
| Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31? | No | 501.9 | 49¢ | 47¢ | $236 | -$11 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,200,000 and 9,600,000? | No | 235.7 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $231 | +$11 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | Yes | 230 | 83¢ | 98¢ | $226 | +$35 |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 351.4 | 67¢ | 64¢ | $223 | -$13 |
| Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 399.4 | 70¢ | 50¢ | $201 | -$78 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | 97¢ | $194 | +$193 |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 246.7 | 41¢ | 71¢ | $175 | +$73 |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | No | 258 | 28¢ | 67¢ | $172 | +$100 |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 190.2 | 45¢ | 88¢ | $167 | +$81 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 160 | 76¢ | 96¢ | $154 | +$32 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more? | No | 160 | 89¢ | 93¢ | $149 | +$7 |
| Next Qwen Max (4.1+) released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 182 | 55¢ | 81¢ | $147 | +$47 |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 775T tokens from Oct 26 to Nov 22? | Yes | 149.9 | 45¢ | 98¢ | $147 | +$80 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 165.3 | 70¢ | 85¢ | $141 | +$25 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | No | 145 | 71¢ | 94¢ | $136 | +$33 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 1,850,000 and 2,000,000? | No | 140 | 82¢ | 94¢ | $132 | +$17 |
| Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico? | South Dakota | 132.7 | 80¢ | 97¢ | $129 | +$23 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 140 | 29¢ | 92¢ | $128 | +$88 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | No | 140 | 28¢ | 90¢ | $125 | +$87 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 150 | 56¢ | 82¢ | $122 | +$38 |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | No | 226.7 | 29¢ | 51¢ | $116 | +$50 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 120 | 79¢ | 94¢ | $112 | +$17 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026? | No | 122 | 76¢ | 88¢ | $107 | +$14 |
| Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 136.8 | 65¢ | 77¢ | $105 | +$17 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000? | No | 106.1 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $104 | +$8 |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? | Yes | 120 | 55¢ | 79¢ | $94 | +$28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 327.9 | 82¢ | 27¢ | $89 | -$179 |
| Will the next Muse Spark model (1.4+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | No | 132.6 | 31¢ | 60¢ | $80 | +$38 |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 98.5 | 74¢ | 78¢ | $77 | +$4 |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 181 | 53¢ | 42¢ | $76 | -$19 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | Yes | 1.7K | 33¢ | 4.5¢ | $74 | -$470 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 189.5 | 79¢ | 36¢ | $68 | -$81 |
| New NVIDIA CEO named by December 31, 2026? | No | 85 | 46¢ | 79¢ | $67 | +$28 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? | No | 118.1 | 60¢ | 56¢ | $66 | -$4 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg join Trump at APEC in China? | No | 67.2 | 73¢ | 98¢ | $66 | +$16 |
| Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff? | No | 62.5 | 83¢ | 99¢ | $62 | +$10 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.75T? | No | 60 | 81¢ | 99¢ | $60 | +$11 |
| Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 45% or higher? | Yes | 60 | 85¢ | 96¢ | $57 | +$6 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 254.6 | 12¢ | 23¢ | $57 | +$26 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | 60 | 61¢ | 94¢ | $57 | +$20 |
| Muse Charm released by November 15, 2026? | No | 55 | 78¢ | 97¢ | $53 | +$10 |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? | No | 53.5 | 53¢ | 93¢ | $50 | +$22 |
| Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 9? | No | 50 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $50 | +$1 |
| Will Glenn Jacobs be the next to hold Blackburn's Senate seat by March 31? | No | 80 | 55¢ | 59¢ | $47 | +$3 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31? | No | 50.1 | 92¢ | 90¢ | $45 | -$1 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027? | No | 55.1 | 60¢ | 82¢ | $45 | +$12 |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? | Yes | 243.6 | 12¢ | 18¢ | $44 | +$15 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T? | No | 40 | 69¢ | 99¢ | $40 | +$12 |
| Will Brent Ingraham be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | No | 40 | 86¢ | 93¢ | $37 | +$3 |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 40 | 57¢ | 81¢ | $32 | +$9 |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 34 | 56¢ | 86¢ | $29 | +$10 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000? | Yes | 52.7 | 9.6¢ | 53¢ | $28 | +$23 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 70 | 64¢ | 39¢ | $27 | -$18 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? | Yes | 126.3 | 73¢ | 20¢ | $25 | -$67 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | Yes | 166.1 | 84¢ | 9.3¢ | $16 | -$125 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 523.4 | 0.3¢ | 2.9¢ | $15 | +$14 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 219.8 | 22¢ | 7.0¢ | $15 | -$32 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 143.1 | 58¢ | 10¢ | $15 | -$67 |
| Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 860.5 | 6.8¢ | 1.7¢ | $15 | -$44 |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026? | No | 15 | 72¢ | 94¢ | $14 | +$3 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027? | No | 50 | 18¢ | 28¢ | $14 | +$5 |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 51¢ | 70¢ | $14 | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? | Yes | 619.5 | 26¢ | 2.1¢ | $13 | -$150 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 69¢ | 4.2¢ | $12 | -$195 |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 40¢ | 60¢ | $12 | +$4 |
| Will Steve Witkoff join Trump at APEC in China? | Yes | 90.8 | 8.7¢ | 12¢ | $11 | +$3 |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 40¢ | 56¢ | $11 | +$3 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 219.3 | 17¢ | 4.9¢ | $11 | -$26 |
| Will "Pale Sun" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 51¢ | $10 | +$0 |
| Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? | No | 55 | 14¢ | 18¢ | $10 | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 29 | 14¢ | 33¢ | $10 | +$6 |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 54.7 | 49¢ | 18¢ | $10 | -$17 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 9.5¢ | $10 | -$22 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 10,400,000 and 10,800,000? | Yes | 127.9 | 22¢ | 6.5¢ | $8 | -$20 |
| Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 48¢ | 35¢ | $7 | -$3 |
| Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 122 | 48¢ | 4.5¢ | $5 | -$53 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? | Yes | 412.2 | 23¢ | 1.2¢ | $5 | -$89 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 433.4 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | $5 | -$1 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be less than $40B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 394.4 | 0.7¢ | 1.1¢ | $4 | +$2 |
| Will "Dracula - Tame Impala & JENNIE" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 21? | Yes | 15.3 | 3.0¢ | 25¢ | $4 | +$3 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 435 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | $3 | +$0 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.8 | 79¢ | 77¢ | $3 | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | No | 379.5 | 76¢ | 0.7¢ | $3 | -$285 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 339 | 1.0¢ | 0.8¢ | $3 | -$1 |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? | Minnesota | 66 | 85¢ | 3.5¢ | $2 | -$54 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 360 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | $2 | +$0 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 418.1 | 41¢ | 0.5¢ | $2 | -$170 |
| Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 41¢ | 11¢ | $2 | -$6 |
| Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of November 21? | Yes | 2.8 | 45¢ | 78¢ | $2 | +$1 |
| Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 100 | 20¢ | 2.1¢ | $2 | -$17 |
| Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? | Yes | 14.2 | 89¢ | 13¢ | $2 | -$11 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 174.8 | 1.1¢ | 0.8¢ | $1 | -$1 |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be at least $125B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 91.7 | 1.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 63¢ | 1.7¢ | $1 | -$37 |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 94.6 | 41¢ | 0.6¢ | $1 | -$38 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin 73% to 75%? | Yes | 0.7 | 85¢ | 85¢ | $1 | +$0 |
| Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 20.2 | 65¢ | 0.5¢ | $0 | -$13 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C? | Yes | 8 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | -$0 |