Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $4,024·Volume $50.7K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes67%No33%
Smart money leans
No
33% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
71%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
33%price33%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$430 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$330
72h +$587
Smart money entered21¢33¢at 07:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,024
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is strongly betting on "No", with $430 riding on it.
The price of 33% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 21¢; the price was 33¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $430 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$330, +$587 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $102 |
| 18h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $102 |
| 19h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $44 |
| 19h ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $44 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $187 |
| 1d ago | troimMid | Sell | No | 26¢ | $187 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $118 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $118 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | Yes | 76¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | troimMid | Buy | No | 19¢ | $422 |
| 4d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $42 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $21 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $5 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $27 |
| 6d ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 13¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 12¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 15¢ | $50 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 16¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 16¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 16¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Sell | No | 16¢ | $3 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $125 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | Hannah-MontanaMid | Buy | No | 13¢ | $3 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | Yes | 82¢ | $138 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $104 |