Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?
ActiveLiquidity $8,721·Volume $11.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes34%No66%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:40Smart money exiting · $245 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price32%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$304 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$245
72h -$331
Smart money entered66¢32¢at 21:40Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$8,721
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $304 riding on it.
The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $304 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$245, -$331 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:40
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $41 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $41 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $41 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $41 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $8 |
| 11h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $90 |
| 13h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 44¢ | $160 |
| 14h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 50¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $28 |
| 1d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $30 |
| 1d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 53¢ | $12 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $67 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $293 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $210 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $114 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $4 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $20 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $37 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $106 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $14 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $59 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $59 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $25 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $18 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $19 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $17 |