TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?

ActiveLiquidity $8,721·Volume $11.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes34%No66%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:40Smart money exiting · $245 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price32%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$304 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$245
72h -$331
Smart money entered66¢32¢at 21:40Edge leftnoneLast smart buy11h agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$8,721
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $304 riding on it.

The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot.

Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $304 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$245, -$331 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 21:40
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$41
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$41
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$24
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$24
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$41
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$41
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$8
5h agoTenebrus7TopSellYes41¢$8
11h agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes45¢$90
13h agoG.HchenTopSellYes44¢$160
14h agoG.HchenTopSellYes50¢$19
1d agoG.HchenTopSellYes57¢$28
1d agoG.HchenTopSellYes57¢$30
1d agoG.HchenTopSellYes57¢$30
2d agoG.HchenTopSellYes53¢$28
2d agoG.HchenTopSellYes53¢$20
2d agoG.HchenTopSellYes53¢$12
4d agoG.HchenTopBuyYes58¢$67
4d agoG.HchenTopBuyYes58¢$293
4d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes66¢$210
4d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes66¢$114
4d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes66¢$4
4d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$20
4d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$37
4d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$106
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$4
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$4
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$14
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$59
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$59
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$4
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$25
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$18
5d agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes74¢$19
2w agoTenebrus7TopBuyYes84¢$17