Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?
ActiveLiquidity $23·Volume $4,711·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:South Dakota84%New Mexico16%
Smart money leans
New Mexico
15% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
15%price15%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$342 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered14¢15¢at 03:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$23
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "New Mexico", with $342 riding on it.
The price of 15% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 14¢; the price was 15¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $342 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.