Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.5T?
ActiveLiquidity $20.8K·Volume $4,244·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$436 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$413
Smart money entered96¢99¢at 05:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 414d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$20.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $436 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $436 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$413 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Mid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $409 |
| 11w ago | KimchiCapitalTop | Buy | No | 69¢ | $28 |