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arjennnnn

ProbationPolymarket
0x24ded84d901a743cfee095f8082b0f9f647183cb
Tracking since Nov 8, 2026 · bankroll $43.6K
Quality score
0
Newas of Nov 9, 2026
PnL 30d
+$49.1K
PnL 90d
+$72.3K
ROI 90d
+4%
on $1.7M deployed
Entry edge
51%
102 resolved markets
Volume 90d
$4.4M
4860 trades
Breadth 90d
340
distinct markets
Quality score — 90 days
Delayed 1h · as of 14:00
MarketOutcomeSizeAvg priceCurrentValuePnL
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes18.3K99¢99¢$18,114-$50
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes6.7K98¢98¢$6,543-$11
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No5.6K92¢90¢$5,002-$109
Iran leadership change by November 30?No5K96¢98¢$4,877+$72
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No2K65¢81¢$1,630+$324
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes1K78¢80¢$795+$15
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?No90085¢87¢$779+$12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1K75¢74¢$739-$9
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No1K66¢67¢$669+$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes649.491¢94¢$610+$19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?No559.295¢95¢$532+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No50092¢95¢$477+$17
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No57080¢77¢$439-$17
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?No50085¢88¢$439+$16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes50084¢86¢$429+$12
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes1K37¢38¢$375+$5
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes38887¢88¢$340+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes50036¢40¢$198+$17
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?Yes20075¢82¢$163+$13
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No96.873¢85¢$83+$12
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?Yes98.880¢83¢$81+$2
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 16?Yes8096¢100¢$80+$3
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes20041¢35¢$69-$13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes10066¢66¢$66$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?No30.290¢97¢$29+$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes6.290¢93¢$6+$0
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?Yes10091¢0.0¢$0-$91
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes153.48.8¢0.0¢$0-$13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes178.7K23¢0.0¢$0-$41.1K
Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes9.8K1.1¢0.0¢$0-$113
LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group StageTeam Liquid1.1K54¢0.0¢$0-$600