| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | 75¢ | 82¢ | $3,218 | +$249 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 3.3K | 91¢ | 96¢ | $3,216 | +$177 |
| Will Gemini Hydrogen debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? | No | 2.2K | 91¢ | 99¢ | $2,164 | +$175 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | 37¢ | 62¢ | $1,634 | +$660 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? | Yes | 1.9K | 38¢ | 64¢ | $1,251 | +$505 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 10.1K | 17¢ | 8.5¢ | $856 | -$861 |
| Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? | Yes | 729 | 84¢ | 89¢ | $645 | +$35 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.6K | 12¢ | 7.5¢ | $567 | -$313 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.4K | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | $407 | -$542 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 17.7K | 7.2¢ | 2.0¢ | $353 | -$923 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 1.2K | 41¢ | 29¢ | $336 | -$142 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 1.6K | 17¢ | 21¢ | $334 | +$58 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 2.2K | 17¢ | 14¢ | $305 | -$67 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 2K | 26¢ | 15¢ | $305 | -$226 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | 9.8¢ | 7.8¢ | $273 | -$70 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.3K | 15¢ | 8.0¢ | $269 | -$231 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 705 | 24¢ | 37¢ | $261 | +$88 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 711.3 | 16¢ | 32¢ | $227 | +$114 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 7.8K | 15¢ | 2.8¢ | $218 | -$983 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 20K | 4.6¢ | 1.1¢ | $210 | -$715 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 5K | 6.2¢ | 3.6¢ | $180 | -$132 |
| Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 450.1 | 43¢ | 39¢ | $173 | -$19 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.3K | 15¢ | 10¢ | $127 | -$66 |
| Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by June 30, 2027? | No | 693.5 | 25¢ | 18¢ | $125 | -$45 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | Yes | 6K | 11¢ | 2.0¢ | $123 | -$561 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 124 | 34¢ | 73¢ | $90 | +$48 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 272.8 | 47¢ | 27¢ | $72 | -$55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 5K | 5.0¢ | 1.4¢ | $70 | -$180 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 337.4 | 31¢ | 16¢ | $54 | -$51 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 7.2K | 7.4¢ | 0.7¢ | $51 | -$483 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 1K | 25¢ | 4.7¢ | $47 | -$208 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | 4.1¢ | 1.6¢ | $42 | -$62 |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 450 | 10¢ | 7.5¢ | $34 | -$11 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 976.3 | 17¢ | 3.0¢ | $29 | -$140 |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50K | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $25 | -$25 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 6.5K | 0.6¢ | 0.3¢ | $23 | -$14 |
| Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026? | Yes | 176.7 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $20 | +$2 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 13.5K | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $20 | -$34 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 233.8 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | $20 | -$9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 271.8 | 32¢ | 3.9¢ | $11 | -$75 |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | Yes | 147.2 | 18¢ | 7.0¢ | $10 | -$16 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 598.9 | 11¢ | 1.2¢ | $7 | -$59 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 706.6 | 26¢ | 0.8¢ | $6 | -$181 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 3.6K | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $5 | -$5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 84.7 | 31¢ | 6.3¢ | $5 | -$21 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 21 | 5.9¢ | 2.0¢ | $0 | -$1 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | Yes | 10K | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$681 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.1K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$250 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026? | Yes | 631.4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$73 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.9K | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes | 2.5K | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$238 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 3.5K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$426 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | Yes | 1K | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$99 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 870.6 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$433 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 8.5K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$19 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5.9K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$891 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | No | 1.7K | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$150 |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 102.1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$15 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 34.4K | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? | No | 471 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$115 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | Yes | 490.5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$178 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026? | Yes | 3.9K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$398 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6? | Yes | 1.9K | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$34 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 614.6 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$159 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.2K | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$455 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 722.9 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$81 |
| OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026? | No | 650 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$168 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1.8K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$423 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 4K | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$193 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | No | 1.2K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$322 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes | 565 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$81 |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 228.6 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$62 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 814.1 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 5.6K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$652 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Down | 563.2 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$280 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | Down | 1.4K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$650 |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | No | 276.1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$70 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | Yes | 863 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$85 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 3.1K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$362 |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | Yes | 1.1K | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$2 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | No | 1.1K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$263 |
| Will Trump say "Burger" in October? | Yes | 500 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$55 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | T1 | 500 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | -$45 |