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Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $2,875·Volume $10.3K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes12%No88%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,566 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$392
72h +$467
Smart money entered84¢89¢at 07:32Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$2,875
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,566 riding on it.

The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $2,566 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$392, +$467 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$18
5h agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$18
15h agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$107
17h agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$107
18h agoUdonsanTopBuyNo88¢$70
18h agoUdonsanTopBuyNo88¢$70
2d agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$16
2d agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$16
2d agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$43
6d agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$31
6d agoxxNyxMidBuyNo80¢$374
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo87¢$80
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo84¢$84
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo80¢$17
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo85¢$86
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo85¢$341
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo84¢$45
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo89¢$74
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo87¢$136
1w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo87¢$125
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo80¢$10
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$21
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$22
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$90
2w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo83¢$94
2w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo81¢$96
2w agopetehegsethMidBuyYes20¢$25
2w agopetehegsethMidBuyYes16¢$56
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$311
4w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo79¢$101
5w agoUdonsanTopBuyNo84¢$34
6w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyYes18¢$4